The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Paso Locomotive 25.6%
Draw 25.2%
Charleston Battery 49.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
26.4%
38.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
26.1%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Paso Locomotive's form might have worsened.
Charleston Battery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charleston Battery's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Paso Locomotive, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleston Battery than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charleston Battery, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
El Paso Locomotive - Charleston Battery Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Waite J. (G) 24. Diaz M. 13. Cabrera A. 21. Twumasi K. 12. Ruiz R. 25. Ortiz A. 8. Daroma F. 6. Calvillo E. 16. Gabriel Torres 14. Avila R. 10. Moreno A.
56. Zamudio L. (G) 42. Martinez D. 5. Archer L. (C) 22. Akpunonu J. 7. Blackstock L. 91. Houssou N. 6. Molloy A. 80. Torres J. 9. Myers M. 10. Rodriguez A. 26. Jennings C.
Substitutes
30. Coronado R. 29. Hoban K. 1. Mora-Mora S. (G) 28. Mora O. 31. Rodriguez E. 7. Romero B. 11. Sorto C. 5. Tony Alfaro 77. Villagomez J.
62. Dossantos N. 34. Edwards M. 1. Garner C. (G) 14. Rubin R. 2. Segbers M. 16. Smith G. 8. Ycaza E.
Coaches
Cabrera W.
Pirmann B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Jennings C. (Pen),
12', Houssou N. 🟨,
39', Ruiz R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Daroma F. 🟨,
56', Jennings C. 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Myers M. ⚽, Torres J. (A),
63', Cabrera W. 🟨,
64', Avila R. ↓, Sorto C. ↑,
64', Ortiz A. ↓, Tony Alfaro ↑,
69', Jennings C. ↓, Rubin R. ↑,
69', Torres J. ↓, Ycaza E. ↑,
74', Cabrera A. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
82', Gabriel Torres ↓, Coronado R. ↑,
82', Myers M. ↓, Smith G. ↑,
87', Rodriguez A. ↓, Segbers M. ↑,
87', Martinez D. ↓, Dossantos N. ↑,
Preview
Charleston Battery is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
El Paso has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Charleston Battery is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
El Paso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Charleston Battery could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, El Paso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.