Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: WakeMed Soccer Park (Cary, NC)

Referee: Surgan J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	North Carolina		El Paso Locomotive

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.3	2.9
	2.25	3.3	2.88
	2.35	3.43	3
	2.31	3.25	3.03	Watch
	2.32	3.3	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.25)	3.32 ↓ (3.4)	2.96 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Carolina
40.8%

Draw
27.9%

El Paso Locomotive
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

27.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

27.6%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+1%)

The ML Model estimate for El Paso Locomotive aligns with the current prediction.

North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. El Paso (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Semmle O. (G) 19. Al Qaq A. 27. Washington B. 20. Donovan C. (C) 66. Sundstrom F. 11. Burner P. 8. Pedro Becker 44. Sommersall R. 6. Roberts T. 13. Perez L. 7. Conway E.	23. Waite J. (G) 24. Diaz M. 3. Ackwei W. 21. Twumasi K. 12. Ruiz R. 8. Daroma F. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 16. Gabriel Torres 11. Sorto C. 14. Avila R. 10. Moreno A.
Substitutes
9. Anderson O. 5. Craig P. 16. Da Costa R. 23. Forbes J. 15. Maldonado M. 1. McGuire J. (G) 71. Quintanilla J. 10. Servania J.	5. Alfaro T. 13. Cabrera A. 30. Coronado R. 1. Mora-Mora S. (G) 28. Mora O. 31. Rodriguez E. 7. Romero B.
Coaches
Bradford J.	Cabrera W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Ackwei W. 🟥,
15', Waite J. 🟨,
17', Sorto C. ↓, Alfaro T. ↑,
22', Avila R. 🟨,
25', Burner P. 🟨,
27', Moreno A. 🟨,
45+2', Sommersall R. 🟨,
45+8', 1 - 0, Conway E. ⚽, Pedro Becker (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Roberts T. 🟨,
59', Pedro Becker 🟨,
63', Sommersall R. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
63', Roberts T. ↓, Da Costa R. ↑,
74', Avila R. ↓, Cabrera A. ↑,
74', Moreno A. ↓, Coronado R. ↑,
81', Perez L. 🟨,
86', Calvillo E. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

North Carolina could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, North Carolina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

North Carolina - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.08%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Carolina FC
USL Championship
05.09.25	Lexington - North Carolina	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	North Carolina - Hartford Athletic	2:3 ✺
23.08.25	Las Vegas Lights - North Carolina	1:2 ✺
15.08.25	North Carolina - Detroit City	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	North Carolina - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWTW
- El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship
06.09.25	El Paso Locomotive - Loudoun United	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive	3:3 ✺
23.08.25	El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	El Paso Locomotive - Monterey Bay	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Miami - El Paso Locomotive	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
28.09.24	El Paso Locomotive - North Carolina	1:0

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