The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Paso Locomotive 33.1%
Draw 28%
Sacramento Republic 38.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.4%
26.4%
42.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.5%
25.7%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Romero A. (G) 21. Twumasi K. 25. Ortiz A. 15. Dollenmayer N. 11. Farkarlun B. 30. Coronado R. 8. Sainte C. 12. Ruiz R. 19. Mendez A. 14. Rubin R. (C) 10. Moreno A.
1. Vitiello D. (G) 2. Gurr J. 22. Benitez M. 5. Timmer J. 4. Desmond L. (C) 24. Casas J. 27. Crisostomo D. 11. Ajago F. 8. Rodriguez M. 7. Malango M. 26. Jennings C.
Substitutes
33. Alphin R. (G) 2. Cardona N. 23. Diaz G. 5. Gomez D. 29. Hoban K. 7. Jones Z. 18. Quezada A. 93. Tony Alfaro
71. Edwards K. 15. Essel A. 18. Kaye M. 6. Kleemann F. 19. Midence A. 31. Randolph J. (G) 3. Spaulding R. 20. Willey B.
Coaches
Gonzalez J.
Collins N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Collins N. 🟨,
43', Coronado R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Malango M. ↓, Midence A. ↑,
62', Benitez M. ↓, Spaulding R. ↑,
67', Sainte C. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
69', Ajago F. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
76', Twumasi K. ↓, Tony Alfaro ↑,
76', Farkarlun B. ↓, Jones Z. ↑,
76', Moreno A. ↓, Cardona N. ↑,
82', Casas J. ↓, Kaye M. ↑,
82', Jennings C. ↓, Willey B. ↑,
84', Ruiz R. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
87', 0 - 1, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Kaye M. (A),
90+4', Ortiz A. 🟨,
Preview
El Paso is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 3.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, El Paso has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:14 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for El Paso against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 12:3 goals (averaging 1.7:0.4 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
El Paso Locomotive - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.36%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.