The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Paso Locomotive 54.9%
Draw 22.8%
Loudoun United 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.4%
24.1%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
23.3%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
El Paso Locomotive - Loudoun United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Romero A. (G) 2. Cardona N. 25. Ortiz A. 15. Dollenmayer N. 93. Tony Alfaro 5. Gomez D. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 16. Gabriel Torres 19. Mendez A. 14. Rubin R. 10. Moreno A.
41. Bandre E. (G) 7. Niyongabire P. 24. Erlandson J. (C) 21. Akinyode B. 5. Mazzaferro S. 6. Awuah K. 23. Watts A. 8. Murphy J. 11. Aboukoura A. 9. Davis III E. 19. Aman R.
Substitutes
13. Avila R. 30. Coronado R. 23. Diaz G. 29. Hoban K. 7. Jones Z. 4. Pedro Cruz (G) 12. Ruiz R. 8. Sainte C.
2. Adnan N. 40. Conner R. (G) 18. Lomtadze G. 39. Marcos Dias 33. Piras L. 22. Torres C. 20. Young S.
Coaches
Gonzalez J.
Limbrick A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Rubin R. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Aboukoura A. ⚽, Aman R. (A),
30', 2 - 1, Rubin R. ⚽,
40', 3 - 1, Rubin R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gomez D. ↓, Coronado R. ↑,
60', Watts A. ↓, Marcos Dias ↑,
65', Mendez A. 🟨,
71', Cardona N. ↓, Hoban K. ↑,
71', Moreno A. ↓, Avila R. ↑,
71', Murphy J. ↓, Young S. ↑,
71', Mendez A. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
72', Niyongabire P. ↓, Torres C. ↑,
79', Aboukoura A. ↓, Lomtadze G. ↑,
79', Calvillo E. ↓, Sainte C. ↑,
79', Awuah K. ↓, Adnan N. ↑,
85', Ortiz A. 🟨,
90+1', 4 - 1, Sainte C. ⚽, Gabriel Torres (A),
Preview
El Paso has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Loudoun has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
El Paso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, El Paso is the team to beat.
We predict that El Paso will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).