Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Michael A. Carroll Stadium (Indianapolis, IN)

Referee: Berna Rico S. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play


	Indy Eleven		Loudoun United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	4.00	3.90
	1.72	3.8	3.95
	1.82	3.95	4.09
	1.63	4.4	4.38	Watch
	1.62	4.4	4.45
	1.81	3.98	3.77	Watch
	1.72	3.75	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.57)	4.04 ↓ (4.19)	4.07 ↓ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indy Eleven
54.2%

Draw
23%

Loudoun United
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

22%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

20.1%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Indy Eleven - Loudoun United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dick E. (G) 17. Neidlinger L. 4. Herbert A. 37. Craig P. 14. Quinn A. (C) 6. Lindley C. 22. Omar M. 5. O'Brien J. 18. Okello N. 27. Rendon B. 9. Sharp C.	41. Bandre E. (G) 7. Niyongabire P. 24. Erlandson J. (C) 5. Mazzaferro S. 6. Awuah K. 8. Murphy J. 21. Akinyode B. 22. Torres C. 11. Aboukoura A. 19. Aman R. 17. Ulfarsson T.
Substitutes
23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 36. Kibunguchy N. 19. Kizza E. 90. Mesanvi L. 29. Mitrano A. 21. Rasheed M. 10. Williams K.	2. Adnan N. 38. Barrus L. 89. Herrera-Rauda L. (G) 33. Piras L. 10. Santos P. 14. Souper A. 20. Young S.
Coaches
McAuley S.	Limbrick A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Lindley C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Neidlinger L. 🟨,
54', Torres C. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Aboukoura A. ⚽, Awuah K. (A),
61', Sharp C. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
61', Omar M. ↓, Mesanvi L. ↑,
61', Neidlinger L. ↓, Kibunguchy N. ↑,
67', Niyongabire P. ↓, Adnan N. ↑,
75', Okello N. ↓, Mitrano A. ↑,
85', Herbert A. 🟨,
86', Aman R. ↓, Young S. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 3.

In recent matches, Indy has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Loudoun's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Indy has had a series of away games.

In this match, Indy is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Indy won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
18.07.26	Detroit City - Indy Eleven	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Miami - Indy Eleven	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Indy Eleven - Charleston Battery	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
20.06.26	Lexington - Indy Eleven	0:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
13.06.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLWWL
- Loudoun United
USL Championship
18.07.26	Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Loudoun United	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
03.07.26	Loudoun United - Sporting Jacksonville	2:2 ✺
24.06.26	Charleston Battery - Loudoun United	4:1 ✺
20.06.26	Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
18.10.25	Indy Eleven - Loudoun United	2:1
16.08.25	Loudoun United - Indy Eleven	3:2
08.10.24	Loudoun United - Indy Eleven	0:1
13.07.24	Indy Eleven - Loudoun United	1:1
26.08.23	Indy Eleven - Loudoun United	2:1
06.05.23	Loudoun United - Indy Eleven	1:2
25.09.22	Indy Eleven - Loudoun United	1:0

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