The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Porvenir 25.9%
Draw 31%
Ferrocarril Midland 43.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.7%
30.8%
47.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.9%
29.7%
49.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferrocarril Midland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
33.3%
55.6%
El Porvenir - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. El Porvenir will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Ferrocarril will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ferrocarril: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches El Porvenir won 0.
The competitors look crappy now.
In this match Ferrocarril is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches El Porvenir won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-14.
Including matches at home between the teams El Porvenir won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.
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