Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 9 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Ferrocarril Midland		Argentino de Merlo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	2.9	4
	2	3.1	3.7	Watch
	1.97	3.1	3.83
				Watch
	2	2.8	4.2
	1.98	3.28	3.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.85)	3.04 ↓ (3.05)	3.88 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
46.4%

Draw
30.1%

Argentino de Merlo
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

30%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

28.8%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Argentino de Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ferrocarril Midland - Argentino de Merlo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ferrocarril will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maldonado L. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Meza F. 6. Cataldi F. 3. Monzon S. 8. Frattini M. 5. Violini N. 7. Rogoski M. 11. Molina F. 10. Campana A. I. 9. Vico L.	1. Atamanuk C. (G) 4. Marcial C. 2. Zarate E. 6. Lopez V. 3. Gomez A. F. 8. Ledesma M. I. 5. Sanchez de Leon J. 10. Medina C. 11. Guerra A. 7. Salvador A. 9. Lucas Delgado

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Lucas Delgado ⚽,
19', Marcial C. 🟨,
35', Guerra A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Monzon S. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Molina F. ⚽,
51', 2 - 1, Molina F. ⚽,
54', Sanchez B. 🟨,
56', Sanchez B. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
56', Guerra A. ↓, Maldonado F. ↑,
59', Zarate E. 🟥,
61', Ledesma M. I. ↓, Tamborelli E. ↑,
62', Meza F. 🟨,
64', Sanchez de Leon J. 🟨,
64', Tamborelli E. 🟨,
65', Vico L. 🟨,
68', Vico L. ↓, Olivera E. ↑,
76', Molina F. ↓, Chavez C. ↑,
76', Sanchez de Leon J. ↓, Ursino D. ↑,
77', Marcial C. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
81', Ursino D. 🟨,
82', Frattini M. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
82', Campana A. I. ↓, Cucinotta M. ↑,
85', Cataldi F. 🟨,
85', Maldonado F. 🟨,
90+2', Olivera E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Ferrocarril is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferrocarril won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera B
05.07.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Fénix - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
08.06.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Laferrere	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWWTW
- Argentino de Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
05.07.25	Argentino de Merlo - Excursionistas	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Acassuso - Argentino de Merlo	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Brown de Adrogué - Argentino de Merlo	0:2 ✺
07.06.25	Argentino de Merlo - Argentino de Quilmes	2:1 ✺
31.05.25	Villa Dálmine - Argentino de Merlo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
18.02.25	Argentino de Merlo - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2
10.08.24	Argentino de Merlo - Ferrocarril Midland	0:3
26.03.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Argentino de Merlo	0:1
Argentinian Primera C
19.11.22	Argentino de Merlo - Ferrocarril Midland	2:0 penalties
13.11.22	Ferrocarril Midland - Argentino de Merlo	1:0
28.08.22	Ferrocarril Midland - Argentino de Merlo	1:2
24.04.22	Argentino de Merlo - Ferrocarril Midland	1:4

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