The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Porvenir 29.6%
Draw 32.4%
Liniers 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.7%
32.7%
40.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26%
33.6%
41.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Liniers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
33.3%
50%
El Porvenir - Liniers Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. El Porvenir will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Liniers will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 11).
El Porvenir is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Liniers is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Liniers could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.