Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday


	Ferrocarril Midland		El Porvenir

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.65	6
	1.52	3.6	5.8
	1.49	4.01	6.92
	1.53	3.25	6.5
	1.51	3.75	6.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)	3.65 ↑ (3.5)	6.3 ↑ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
60.5%

Draw
25%

El Porvenir
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

26.1%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

25.7%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for El Porvenir aligns with the current prediction.

Ferrocarril Midland - El Porvenir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Play Offs: Final) and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferrocarril won 4.

Ferrocarril is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

El Porvenir is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ferrocarril is absolute favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ferrocarril won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferrocarril won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera C
15.05.22	San Martín de Burzaco - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1 ✺
10.05.22	Ferrocarril Midland - Real Pilar	2:0 ✺
06.05.22	General Lamadrid - Ferrocarril Midland	2:0 ✺
02.05.22	Ferrocarril Midland - Berazategui	2:0 ✺
24.04.22	Argentino de Merlo - Ferrocarril Midland	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWLWW
- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
15.05.22	El Porvenir - Deportivo Español	0:2 ✺
10.05.22	Central Córdoba de Rosario - El Porvenir	1:0 ✺
06.05.22	El Porvenir - Sportivo Italiano	1:0 ✺
02.05.22	Leandro N. Alem - El Porvenir	2:1 ✺
17.04.22	El Porvenir - San Martín de Burzaco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
07.11.21	Ferrocarril Midland - El Porvenir	2:1
11.07.21	El Porvenir - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1
12.12.20	El Porvenir - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1
31.01.20	El Porvenir - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2
03.08.19	Ferrocarril Midland - El Porvenir	2:1
02.03.19	Ferrocarril Midland - El Porvenir	1:1
22.09.18	El Porvenir - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2

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