The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Porvenir 26.8%
Draw 30.6%
San Martín de Burzaco 42.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.7%
28.3%
47%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.8%
27.3%
48.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Martín de Burzaco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
El Porvenir - San Martín de Burzaco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches El Porvenir won 0.
El Porvenir has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches San Martín de Burzaco is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
El Porvenir could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
San Martín de Burzaco will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches El Porvenir won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-8.
Including matches at home between the teams El Porvenir won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.
Watch
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