Match Info

Primera C - Round 26

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Rubén Carlos Vallejos (Buenos Aires)


	Puerto Nuevo		El Porvenir

	1	X	2
	4.95	3.55	1.6
	4.80	3.69	1.65	Watch
	4.25	3.63	1.79
	3.9	3.35	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↑ (2.68)	3.56 ↑ (2.91)	1.72 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Puerto Nuevo
20.5%

Draw
25.9%

El Porvenir
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

30.9%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

31.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puerto Nuevo's form might have worsened.

El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Porvenir's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puerto Nuevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-18.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Porvenir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Puerto Nuevo - El Porvenir Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Puerto Nuevo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). El Porvenir will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - El Porvenir (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): El Porvenir will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. El Porvenir (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Alvarenga M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
84', 1 - 1, Pertossi D. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, Kuszko L. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Primera C (Relegation) and 8).

Puerto Nuevo is Primera C (Relegation)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 1.

Recent form of Puerto Nuevo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

El Porvenir is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, El Porvenir is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Nuevo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Puerto Nuevo
Argentinian Primera C
05.09.25	Defensores de Cambaceres - Puerto Nuevo	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Puerto Nuevo - Leandro N. Alem	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Puerto Nuevo - Central Córdoba de Rosario	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Lugano - Puerto Nuevo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWTLL
- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
05.09.25	El Porvenir - Lugano	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	Berazategui - El Porvenir	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	El Porvenir - Ituzaingó	1:1 ✺
18.08.25	Deportivo Español - El Porvenir	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	El Porvenir - Atlético Claypole	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
31.05.25	El Porvenir - Puerto Nuevo	3:1
21.09.24	Puerto Nuevo - El Porvenir	1:1
21.04.24	El Porvenir - Puerto Nuevo	2:1
16.07.22	El Porvenir - Puerto Nuevo	1:0
13.03.22	Puerto Nuevo - El Porvenir	2:1
Argentinian Primera D
26.03.16	El Porvenir - Puerto Nuevo	2:0

Upcoming Matches