Match Info

Date: 4 March 2020, Wednesday


	El Vencedor		Alianza San Miguel

	1	X	2
	4	3.7	1.7
	4.25	3.15	1.72
	4.52	3.87	1.72
	5	3.4	1.65
	5.05	3.48	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↑ (2.79)	3.52 ↑ (2.88)	1.69 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Vencedor
20%

Draw
25.9%

Alianza San Miguel
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

31%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

22.2%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Vencedor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Vencedor's form might have worsened.

Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Vencedor than the current prediction. (+24.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Vencedor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-27.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.2%	12.9%	83.9%

El Vencedor - Alianza San Miguel Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. El Vencedor will win (votes: 1 - 3.2%). Alianza will win (votes: 26 - 83.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza: 71% – 96.8%.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Vencedor
El Salvador Primera Division
29.02.20	Jocoro - El Vencedor	2:3 ✺
23.02.20	El Vencedor - Santa Tecla	1:1 ✺
15.02.20	Águila - El Vencedor	1:1 ✺
09.02.20	El Vencedor - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	0:1 ✺
05.02.20	CD FAS - El Vencedor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTTLW
- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
29.02.20	Santa Tecla - Alianza San Miguel	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
26.02.20	Tigres UANL - Alianza San Miguel	4:2 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
22.02.20	Alianza San Miguel - Águila	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
19.02.20	Alianza San Miguel - Tigres UANL	2:1 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
16.02.20	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Alianza San Miguel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
01.12.19	Alianza San Miguel - El Vencedor	4:3
22.09.19	El Vencedor - Alianza San Miguel	2:0

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