The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza San Miguel 39%
Draw 29.2%
Inter Santa Tecla 31.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36%
29.5%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
29%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Inter Santa Tecla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Santa Tecla than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Alianza San Miguel - Inter Santa Tecla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Osorio H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 2 - 0, Mier M. ⚽,
53', 2 - 1, Molina K. ⚽,
83', Guardado C. 🟥,
90+8', 2 - 2, Hernandez M. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 7th and 4th in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Inter Santa Tecla could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Alianza has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.
El Salvador
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