Match Info

LaLiga - Round 4

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, New World Sport 3, SuperSport LaLiga
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	Laola1
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Cyprus	Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Finland	Disney+
France	DAZN France, Disney+
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Iceland	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Malta	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Match TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Spain	M+ LaLiga
Sweden	Disney+
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4


	Elche		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.40	2.30	Watch
	3.10	3.40	2.25
	3.30	3.45	2.14	Watch
	3.26	3.42	2.35
	3.45	3.69	2.13	Watch
	3.20	3.40	2.30
	3.34	3.52	2.32	Watch
	3.15	3.50	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3.06)	3.47 ↑ (3.21)	2.27 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
29.8%

Draw
27.7%

Real Sociedad
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

29.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

29.9%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.6%	13.3%	71.1%

Elche - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 7 - 15.6%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 32 - 71.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 57.9% – 84.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Elche (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Real Sociedad (1.63) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Sociedad will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Elche (votes: 3 - 30%). Real Sociedad (votes: 7 - 70%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dituro M. (G) 2. Buba Sangare 23. Chust V. 6. Bigas P. (C) 20. Tete Morente 10. Buonanotte F. 47. Morcillo J. 12. Villar G. 11. Valera G. 14. Nino F. 9. Ponce E.	13. Marrero U. (G) 2. Aramburu J. 5. Zubeldia I. 19. Sarr M. 17. Gomez S. 12. Ochieng J. 21. Herrera Y. 18. Soler C. 11. Guedes G. 24. Sucic L. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)
Substitutes
8. Aguado M. 26. Barzic M. 21. Cepeda L. 29. Houary A. 13. Iturbe A. (G) 17. Josan 18. Lemar T. 16. Neto M. 24. Osorio A. 5. Redondo Solari F. 3. Revivo R. 22. Sanchez R.	7. Barrenetxea A. 22. Fort H. 4. Gorrotxategi J. 14. Kubo T. 29. Marchal A. 6. Martin J. 3. Munoz A. 9. Oskarsson O. 16. Pacheco J. 1. Remiro A. (G) 8. Turrientes B. 23. Zakharyan A.
Coaches
Anselmi M.	Matarazzo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', Aramburu J. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Ochieng J. ⚽, Soler C. (A),
31', 0 - 2, Herrera Y. ⚽, Ochieng J. (A),
44', Tete Morente 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Buonanotte F. ↓, Lemar T. ↑,
55', Ponce E. ↓, Osorio A. ↑,
57', Osorio A. 🟨,
58', Guedes G. ↓, Marchal A. ↑,
58', Sarr M. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
64', Martin J. 🟥,
67', 1 - 2, Lemar T. ⚽, Chust V. (A),
68', Valera G. 🟨,
70', Herrera Y. ↓, Pacheco J. ↑,
70', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Gorrotxategi J. ↑,
70', Villar G. ↓, Cepeda L. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Nino F. ⚽, Tete Morente (A),
81', Marchal A. ↓, Fort H. ↑,
81', Valera G. ↓, Josan ↑,
81', Buba Sangare ↓, Revivo R. ↑,
90', 2 - 3, Sucic L. ⚽, Ochieng J. (A),
90+7', Lemar T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elche won 0.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Elche may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Real Sociedad is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Elche: Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Marin P. (Injury) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Elche won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 5:23. (average 0.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Elche won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Real Sociedad: 0.42% Elche: 0.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9:13	-4	10
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11:17	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Elche - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.97%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Real Sociedad - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 39.54%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
28.08.26	Racing Santander - Elche	3:2 ✺
23.08.26	Elche - Barcelona	0:5 ✺
17.08.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Elche	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Elche - Córdoba	2:2 ✺
28.07.26	Elche - Al Ain	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTTT
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
03.09.26	Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	4:1 ✺
21.08.26	Betis - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Chelsea - Real Sociedad	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
07.02.26	Real Sociedad - Elche	3:1
07.11.25	Elche - Real Sociedad	1:1
19.03.23	Real Sociedad - Elche	2:0
27.08.22	Elche - Real Sociedad	0:1
10.04.22	Elche - Real Sociedad	1:2
26.09.21	Real Sociedad - Elche	1:0
07.05.21	Real Sociedad - Elche	2:0

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