Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio de O Couto (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Spain	M+ LaLiga
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Ourense CF		Girona

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.76	Watch
	4.25	3.45	1.82
	4.27	3.49	1.84
	4.35	3.61	1.78	Watch
	4.6	3.3	1.75	Watch
	4.31	3.58	1.79	Watch
	4	3.5	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↑ (4.19)	3.5 ↑ (3.32)	1.8 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
21.6%

Draw
26.6%

Girona
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

27.3%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

30.6%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ourense CF have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Girona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Ourense CF - Girona Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Girona (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Ourense CF (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Girona will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ourense CF (votes: 2 - 50%). Girona (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sanchez Vivas A. (G) 5. Prado M. 4. Carmona F. (C) 22. Yuste A. 3. Sanz H. 10. Camus M. 14. Perez A. 8. Ramos J. 11. Aranzabe A. 7. Bouzaig A. 16. Munoz D.	13. Gazzaniga P. (C) 2. Rincon H. 16. Frances A. 12. Vitor Reis 3. Roca J. 22. Solis Romero J. E. 29. Kourouma L. 30. Sarasa J. 10. Asprilla Y. 44. Ba P. 9. Ruiz A.
Substitutes
6. Castillo N. 26. Comas O. 2. Coto E. 19. Garcia D. 21. Guerrero A. 20. Gueye L. 12. Jelbat A. 24. Moreno C. 17. Ouhdadi O. 15. Piera J. 23. Punzano I. 18. Rabadan D. 1. Raton A. (G) 9. Vazquez K.	43. Andreev A. (G) 32. Arango J. 27. Arnau P. 21. Gil B. 28. Jordana G. 1. Livakovic D. (G) 23. Martin I. 31. Salguero A. 15. Tsygankov V. 19. Vanat V.
Coaches
Llacer D.	Michel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Yuste A. ⚽, Aranzabe A. (A),
20', Sarasa J. 🟨,
25', Asprilla Y. (Penalty Awarded),
25', 1 - 1, Asprilla Y. ⚽, Ruiz A. (A),
34', Ruiz A. ↓, Vanat V. ↑,
35', Vitor Reis 🟨,
41', Bouzaig A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Perez A. ↓, Jelbat A. ↑,
57', Munoz D. ↓, Ouhdadi O. ↑,
57', Camus M. ↓, Guerrero A. ↑,
58', Vanat V. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Ouhdadi O. ⚽,
65', Sarasa J. ↓, Martin I. ↑,
65', Solis Romero J. E. ↓, Jordana G. ↑,
65', Rincon H. ↓, Tsygankov V. ↑,
74', Ba P. ↓, Arnau P. ↑,
76', Ramos J. ↓, Castillo N. ↑,
85', Bouzaig A. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,

Preview

Ourense CF has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Girona's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Girona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Girona is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.11.25	Ourense CF - Unionistas de Salamanca	4:3 ✺
22.11.25	Arenteiro - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Ourense CF - CD Guadalajara	3:0 ✺
12.11.25	Zamora - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
08.11.25	Ourense CF - Orihuela	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWTW
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.25	Girona - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Betis - Girona	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Girona - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Getafe - Girona	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Constancia - Girona	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TTWLW

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