Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 41

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1
Argentina	DSports 2
Brazil	Disney+
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Ecuador	DSports 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 4, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 4, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DSports 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DSports 2


	Elche		Málaga

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	9	Watch
	1.32	4.75	8.5
	1.34	4.8	8.6	Watch
	1.34	4.82	10.47
	1.35	4.82	10.08	Watch
	1.3	4.8	11
	1.35	4.81	9.12	Watch
	1.34	4.8	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.28)	4.79 ↓ (5.17)	9.42 ↓ (10.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
70.4%

Draw
19.6%

Málaga
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.3%

18.2%

8.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Elche - Málaga Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Elche (2.03) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Málaga (3.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elche will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elche will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Elche (votes: 8 - 80%). Málaga (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dituro M. (G) 5. Donald J. 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. 12. Salinas J. 14. Febas A. 10. Mercau N. 21. Castro N. 7. Plano O. 23. Pejino 9. Alvarez A.	1. Herrero A. (G) 16. Murillo D. 20. Monte N. 5. Pastor A. 2. Gabilondo J. 26. Cordero A. 12. Molina M. 19. Luismi 24. Lobete J. 10. Larrubia D. 27. Chupe
Substitutes
8. Aguado M. 16. Alex Martin 19. El Ghezouani M. 31. Hernandez G. 35. Houary A. 3. Izquierdo J. 17. Josan 18. Kaba S. 2. Mario Gaspar 30. Mendoza R. 15. Nunez A. 1. San Roman M. (G)	9. Baturina R. 17. Dioni 4. Galilea E. 8. Juanpe 13. Lopez C. (G) 22. Lorenzo D. 11. Medina K. 29. Merino I. 3. Puga C. 32. Rafita 37. Rodriguez R. 23. Sangalli L.
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Pellicer S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Murillo D. 🟨,
45+3', Febas A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Pastor A. ↓, Galilea E. ↑,
60', Molina M. ↓, Merino I. ↑,
65', Alvarez A. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
65', Pejino ↓, Josan ↑,
75', Plano O. ↓, Kaba S. ↑,
75', Salinas J. ↓, Izquierdo J. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Kaba S. ⚽, Josan (A),
77', Kaba S. 🟨,
79', Chupe ↓, Dioni ↑,
79', Lobete J. ↓, Medina K. ↑,
86', Luismi ↓, Lorenzo D. ↑,
87', Donald J. ↓, Nunez A. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, El Ghezouani M. ⚽, Nunez A. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elche won 3.

Elche has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Málaga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Elche may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Elche is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Elche: Santiago Y. (Knee Injury) Valera G. (Red Card)

There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Garcia V. (Yellow Cards) Ochoa A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Elche: Diaby B. (Injury) Rashani E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Málaga: Sanchez D. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Elche won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Elche won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
17.05.25	Huesca - Elche	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Elche - Levante	1:3 ✺
03.05.25	Burgos - Elche	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Granada - Elche	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Elche - Albacete Balompié	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWTT
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
17.05.25	Málaga - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Eldense - Málaga	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Málaga - Granada	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Málaga - Castellón	1:0 ✺
21.04.25	Eibar - Málaga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
28.09.24	Málaga - Elche	0:3
01.02.20	Elche - Málaga	2:0
24.11.19	Málaga - Elche	3:3
08.06.19	Málaga - Elche	3:0
19.10.18	Elche - Málaga	2:0
Spanish LaLiga
03.05.15	Málaga - Elche	1:2
21.12.14	Elche - Málaga	1:2

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