Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Eldense		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.8	3.7
	2.12	2.82	3.8
	2.15	2.78	3.94
	2.05	2.88	4.26	Watch
	2.05	2.63	3.7
	2.03	2.74	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.16)	2.78 ↓ (3.06)	3.93 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
43.9%

Draw
32.8%

Alcorcón
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

30.3%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

29.1%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Eldense - Alcorcón Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Eldense (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Eldense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vila R. (G) 17. Clemente J. (C) 3. Smand F. 2. Serradell A. G. 19. Ibarrondo A. 8. Bustillo M. 7. Quintana Nacho 12. Molina M. 20. Ibanez R. 9. Dioni 11. Bellari H.	1. Ayesa G. (G) 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 6. Perez I. 4. Rojas J. 15. Rodriguez S. 10. Ballesteros Y. (C) 5. Rai 14. Vacas L. 22. Blanco R. 11. Kopotun V. 17. Ouhdadi O.
Substitutes
24. Alba H. 15. Billups B. 6. Calvo B. 4. Dumic D. 5. Gaixas A. 34. Gonzalez H. 22. Nunez R. 21. Ruiz D. 13. Valencia P. (G) 14. Vega O.	18. Aguado T. 7. Aparicio E. 35. Arcos D. 9. Carmona M. 13. Marti O. (G) 23. Navarro D. 3. Nieto S. 19. Pola J. 28. Santana dos Santos E. L. 16. Tounkara N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Bustillo M. ⚽,
40', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 1 - 1, Kopotun V. ⚽,
54', 🟨,
62', Vacas L. ↓, Tounkara N. ↑,
67', Smand F. 🟨,
80', Kopotun V. ↓, Carmona M. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Aguado T. ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, Clemente J. ⚽,
87', Ouhdadi O. ↓, Navarro D. ↑,
87', Blanco R. ↓, Nieto S. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 13).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Alcorcón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Eldense could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Eldense won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Eldense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Alcorcon	6	3	3	0	13:4	9	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.02.26	Eldense - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Algeciras - Eldense	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Eldense - Teruel	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Eldense	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Eldense - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWTW
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.02.26	Alcorcón - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Atlético Madrid B - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Alcorcón - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Sabadell - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Alcorcón - Antequera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.12.25	Alcorcón - Eldense	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
28.04.24	Alcorcón - Eldense	0:0
11.09.23	Eldense - Alcorcón	2:2

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