Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 5 January 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Referee: Rojas J. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Eldense		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	11	5.75	1.25	Watch
	10.5	5.75	1.24	Watch
	11	5.5	1.27
	11	5.6	1.24
	12.5	5.93	1.24
	15	5.5	1.24
	12.75	6.1	1.22	Watch
	11	5.8	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.84 ↑ (7.34)	5.74 ↑ (4.83)	1.24 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
7.9%

Draw
16.4%

Athletic Bilbao
75.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

19%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

18.3%

71.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletic Bilbao's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Eldense - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Users Predictions: Athletic Bilbao will win (30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.15% – 95.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Eldense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Athletic in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Athletic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Eldense have a series of home games.

Recently Athletic have a series of guest games.

In this match Athletic is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish Copa del Rey
22.12.22	Eldense - Burgos	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.12.22	Eldense - Calahorra	4:0 ✺
10.12.22	Eldense - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
07.12.22	Barcelona B - Eldense	1:0 ✺
03.12.22	Eldense - UD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTLW
- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
29.12.22	Betis - Athletic Bilbao	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
20.12.22	Sestao - Athletic Bilbao	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.12.22	Udinese - Athletic Bilbao	0:1 ✺
15.12.22	Burgos - Athletic Bilbao	0:3 ✺
11.12.22	Athletic Bilbao - Chivas Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWWW

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