Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 31

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2


	Eldense		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.9	2.63	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.7
	2.9	2.95	2.6	Watch
	2.71	3.15	2.82
	2.9	2.97	2.71	Watch
	2.89	3	2.66	Watch
	2.9	2.95	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.72)	2.98 ↑ (2.87)	2.67 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
33.4%

Draw
31.5%

Mirandés
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

32.8%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

33%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Eldense - Mirandés Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Mirandés will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eldense: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 15. Gamez F. 4. Dumic D. 26. Barzic M. 23. Mateu M. 17. Garcia V. 8. Ortuno S. 6. Camarasa V. 10. Llabres J. 16. Ogbuehi S. 25. Collado D.	13. Fernandez R. (G) 29. Benito I. 4. Egiluz U. 22. Gutierrez J. 5. Tachi 3. Alonso J. 10. Reina A. 6. Gorrotxategi J. 19. Lachuer M. 9. Panichelli J. 27. Roca J.
Substitutes
21. Bernal A. 7. Bouzaidi S. 12. Diawara A. 19. Fede 22. Gassama S. 13. Mackay I. (G) 3. Martos I. 14. Monsalve N. 11. Ortuno J. 2. Parra R. 9. Quintana Nacho 18. Ropero U.	7. Butzke A. 11. Calvo A. 28. Dadie Izagirre A. 8. Garcia C. 17. Izeta 1. Lopez L. (G) 20. Martin A. 33. Parada V. 21. Postigo S. 2. Rincon H. 15. Tomeo P.
Coaches
Oltra J.	Lisci A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
24', Mateu M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Gorrotxategi J. ⚽, Benito I. (A),
61', 0 - 2, Panichelli J. ⚽, Alonso J. (A),
62', Camarasa V. ↓, Diawara A. ↑,
62', Collado D. ↓, Quintana Nacho ↑,
62', Masca ↓, Gassama S. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Garcia V. ⚽, Gassama S. (A),
66', Barzic M. 🟨,
68', Alonso J. ↓, Parada V. ↑,
74', Llabres J. ↓, Bouzaidi S. ↑,
78', Egiluz U. 🟨,
82', Dumic D. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
84', Benito I. ↓, Rincon H. ↑,
84', Roca J. ↓, Izeta ↑,
85', Egiluz U. ↓, Tomeo P. ↑,
90', Reina A. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
90+1', Panichelli J. 🟨,
90+6', Parada V. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 2, Ortuno J. (Pen),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Eldense: Chapela I. (Muscle Injury) Mendez D. (Inactive) Pina (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Eldense: Timor D. (Inactive)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Eldense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Eldense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
08.03.25	Zaragoza - Eldense	2:4 ✺
02.03.25	Eldense - Levante	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Albacete Balompié - Eldense	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Eldense - Deportivo A Coruña	2:0 ✺
10.02.25	Real Oviedo - Eldense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 WLWWT
- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
08.03.25	Mirandés - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
03.03.25	Mirandés - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Levante - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
14.02.25	Mirandés - Ferrol	4:1 ✺
08.02.25	Granada - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.11.24	Mirandés - Eldense	1:0
09.03.24	Mirandés - Eldense	3:1
19.11.23	Eldense - Mirandés	2:2

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