Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 26

Date: 10 February 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1, Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Austria	DAZN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Portugal	DAZN 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player


	Real Oviedo		Eldense

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.7	5	Watch
	1.72	3.5	5	Watch
	1.71	3.54	5.95
	1.71	3.46	5.72	Watch
	1.7	3.6	5.4	Watch
	1.72	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.67)	3.55 ↑ (3.4)	5.35 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
55.6%

Draw
26.7%

Eldense
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

26.9%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

25.8%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Real Oviedo - Eldense Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Oviedo will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 98.59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 5. Vidal N. 4. Costas D. 12. Calvo D. 21. Pomares C. 7. Moyano F. 11. Colombatto S. 17. de la Hoz C. 18. de la Fuente P. 9. Alemao 10. Portillo F.	1. Martin D. (G) 15. Gamez F. 5. Pina 26. Barzic M. 23. Mateu M. 8. Ortuno S. 28. Mendez D. 6. Camarasa V. 17. Garcia V. 25. Collado D. 10. Llabres J.
Substitutes
24. Ahijado L. 3. Alhassane R. 1. Braat Q. (G) 27. Cardero A. 8. Cazorla S. 31. Chukwuma E. 23. Hassan H. 15. Luengo O. 14. Paraschiv D. 20. Seoane J. 6. Sibo K.	36. Aceves A. (G) 21. Bernal A. 7. Bouzaidi S. 19. Fede 22. Gassama S. 13. Mackay I. (G) 3. Martos I. 14. Monsalve N. 11. Ortuno J. 2. Parra R. 9. Quintana Nacho 24. Timor D.
Coaches
Calleja J.	Oltra J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Gamez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Llabres J. 🟨,
56', de la Fuente P. ↓, Paraschiv D. ↑,
64', Collado D. ↓, Quintana Nacho ↑,
64', Camarasa V. ↓, Timor D. ↑,
67', Moyano F. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
67', Portillo F. ↓, Seoane J. ↑,
67', Pomares C. 🟨,
77', de la Hoz C. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,
77', Pomares C. ↓, Alhassane R. ↑,
77', Llabres J. ↓, Fede ↑,
84', Fede 🟨,
88', Garcia V. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
88', Gamez F. ↓, Parra R. ↑,
90+1', Paraschiv D. 🟨,
90+3', Mendez D. 🟨,
90+3', Ortuno S. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Oviedo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eldense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Eldense have a series of home games.

In this match Oviedo is a favorite.

There will not play in Oviedo: Chaira I. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Eldense: Dumic D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Oviedo: Seoane J. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Eldense: Chapela I. (Muscle Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
01.02.25	Almería - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Real Oviedo - Castellón	1:0 ✺
17.01.25	Cartagena - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
11.01.25	Real Oviedo - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Real Oviedo - Córdoba	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWTL
- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
31.01.25	Eldense - Granada	0:3 ✺
25.01.25	Tenerife - Eldense	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Eldense - Cádiz	1:4 ✺
13.01.25	Eldense - Eibar	1:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.25	Eldense - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.09.24	Eldense - Real Oviedo	1:1
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Eldense - Real Oviedo	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
04.02.24	Real Oviedo - Eldense	1:1
01.10.23	Eldense - Real Oviedo	1:3

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