Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 9

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Referee: Sesma Espinosa M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Eldense		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.38	Watch
	2.95	3	2.35
	3.1	3.1	2.35	Watch
	3.29	3.23	2.41
	3.1	3.2	2.3
	3.14	3.22	2.31	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.73)	3.14 ↑ (3.05)	2.35 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
30.1%

Draw
30%

Valladolid
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

30.2%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

29.8%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	15.8%	73.7%

Eldense - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Valladolid will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Zubiaurre A. (G) 17. Clemente J. 4. Dumic D. 5. Magana I. S. 23. Mateu M. 21. Bernal A. 8. Ortuno S. 18. Capo P. 27. Salcedo E. 11. Ortuno J. 20. Chapela I.	25. John Victor (G) 2. Perez L. 6. Boyomo F. 15. Gustavo Henrique 22. Rosa L. 4. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 20. Juric S. 10. Sanchez I. 8. Monchu 11. Moro R. 7. Sylla M.
Substitutes
31. Aceves A. (G) 7. Andone F. 12. Derick Poloni 19. Jorquera Romero J. 15. Mari Sanchez M. 10. Montes C. 29. Ortiz A. 9. Soberon M. 24. Timor D. 2. Toni Abad 1. Vallejo G. (G) 16. Youness	23. Anuar 35. Bikoue 16. de la Hoz C. 18. Escudero S. 24. Kenedy 14. Malsa M. 1. Masip J. (G) 29. Munoz I. G. 26. Quintana A. 3. Torres D. 36. Tunde Akinsola
Coaches
Estevez F.	Pezzolano P.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 8).

Eldense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Valladolid is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
01.10.23	Eldense - Real Oviedo	1:3 ✺
23.09.23	Levante - Eldense	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	Espanyol - Eldense	3:3 ✺
11.09.23	Eldense - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
03.09.23	Zaragoza - Eldense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLTTL
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
01.10.23	Valladolid - Burgos	3:0 ✺
24.09.23	Real Oviedo - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Valladolid - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	Valladolid - Elche	1:1 ✺
01.09.23	Albacete Balompié - Valladolid	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWTL

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