Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 7

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)


	Real Oviedo		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.88	3.2	Watch
	2.45	2.9	3.2	Watch
	2.6	2.86	3.41
	2.52	2.81	3.24	Watch
	2.5	2.8	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (3.01)	2.85 ↑ (2.82)	3.25 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
37.7%

Draw
33.2%

Valladolid
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

33%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

33.5%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Oviedo's performance.

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valladolid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Oviedo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valladolid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	58.3%	8.3%

Real Oviedo - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Valladolid will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Roman L. (G) 15. Luengo O. 4. Costas D. 12. Calvo D. 23. Bretones A. 6. Jimmy Suarez 11. Colombatto S. 7. Viti 16. Seoane J. 17. Moyano F. 9. Baston B. (C)	25. John Victor (G) 2. Perez L. 6. Boyomo F. 3. Torres D. 18. Escudero S. 20. Juric S. 10. Sanchez I. 4. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 8. Monchu 24. Kenedy 7. Sylla M.
Substitutes
1. Braat Q. (G) 32. Cardero A. 8. Cazorla S. 18. de la Fuente P. 30. Marco Esteban 20. Masca 21. Pomares C. 27. Rodriguez E. 28. Wehbe Gonzalez C. A.	35. Bikoue 28. Chuki 16. de la Hoz C. 37. Frimpong E. 9. Marcos Andre 1. Masip J. (G) 11. Moro R. 29. Munoz I. G. 26. Quintana A. 22. Rosa L. 36. Tunde Akinsola
Coaches
Carrion L.	Pezzolano P.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Oviedo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Oviedo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
18.09.23	FC Andorra - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Real Oviedo - Sporting de Gijón	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Levante - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Burgos - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
20.08.23	Real Oviedo - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTLT
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
16.09.23	Valladolid - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	Valladolid - Elche	1:1 ✺
01.09.23	Albacete Balompié - Valladolid	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Valladolid - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
18.08.23	Zaragoza - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
13.03.22	Real Oviedo - Valladolid	3:0
12.12.21	Valladolid - Real Oviedo	2:1
20.04.18	Real Oviedo - Valladolid	1:2
18.11.17	Valladolid - Real Oviedo	3:1
Club Friendly
12.08.17	Real Oviedo - Valladolid	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
21.01.17	Real Oviedo - Valladolid	1:0
21.08.16	Valladolid - Real Oviedo	1:0

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