Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 6

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Referee: Frances R. (Esp)


	Valladolid		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.87	3.5	4	Watch
	1.89	3.61	4.46
	1.86	3.55	4.2	Watch
	1.86	3.5	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.18)	3.55 ↑ (3.11)	4.22 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
50.9%

Draw
26.7%

Cartagena
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

29.9%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valladolid's performance.

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valladolid that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	6.2%	12.5%

Valladolid - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: Valladolid will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. John Victor (G) 6. Boyomo F. 15. Gustavo Henrique 3. Torres D. 18. Escudero S. 8. Monchu 20. Juric S. 10. Sanchez I. 2. Perez L. 7. Sylla M. 24. Kenedy	1. Martinez M. (G) 21. Jansson I. 8. Munoz L. 4. Alcala P. 14. Fontan J. 33. Sola A. 10. Hevel H. 32. Alamo J. 20. Izquierdo J. 35. Ayllon I. 9. Ortuno A.
Substitutes
28. Chuki 16. de la Hoz C. 37. Frimpong E. 9. Marcos Andre 1. Masip J. (G) 4. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 11. Moro R. 29. Munoz I. G. 26. Quintana A. 36. Tunde Akinsola	23. Alarcon T. 16. Calero I. 19. Embalo U. 7. Ferreiro D. 11. Juan Carlos 29. Lauti 18. Musto D. 12. Narvaez J. 22. Olivas K. 13. Raul C. (G) 17. Rico M. 5. Verdu G.
Coaches
Pezzolano P.	Sanchez V.

Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Valladolid could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Valladolid is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Valladolid won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
10.09.23	Valladolid - Elche	1:1 ✺
01.09.23	Albacete Balompié - Valladolid	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Valladolid - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
18.08.23	Zaragoza - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
11.08.23	Valladolid - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLLW
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
10.09.23	Cartagena - Zaragoza	1:3 ✺
02.09.23	Villarreal B - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
25.08.23	Cartagena - Levante	0:1 ✺
18.08.23	FC Andorra - Cartagena	3:2 ✺
13.08.23	Cartagena - Eldense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
18.02.22	Cartagena - Valladolid	2:3
27.11.21	Valladolid - Cartagena	2:0
28.04.12	Valladolid - Cartagena	2:1

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