Match Info

SCOTLAND: League Two - Round 33

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Stenhousemuir		Elgin City

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.8
	1.83	3.3	3.7
	1.83	3.5	4
	1.9	3.34	4.2
	1.96	3.12	4.29
	1.7	3.6	4.2
	1.86	3.42	4.15
	1.8	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.45)	3.37 ↓ (4.2)	4.04 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stenhousemuir
50%

Draw
27.3%

Elgin City
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

21.5%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

20.5%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stenhousemuir's form might have worsened.

Elgin City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elgin City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stenhousemuir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elgin City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Stenhousemuir - Elgin City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stenhousemuir will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jamieson D. (G) 2. Meechan R. 15. Stirling B. 4. Buchanan G. 14. Bilham K. 7. Kirkpatrick J. 20. Jacobs Ky. 8. Berry J. 12. Taylor R. 16. O'Reilly E. 10. Yates M.	28. McHale T. (G) 12. Cairns O. 5. Dolzanski J. 24. Ewan C. 3. Booth L. 8. Cameron B. 15. Bray K. 4. Gallagher M. 7. Dingwall R. 22. MacLeman R. 17. Taylor M.
Substitutes
9. Aitken M. 11. Brown A. 31. Hogarth M. (G) 18. Lynch E.	11. Dangana M. 23. Draper R. 9. Golding D. 19. Jamieson M. 10. Jones R. 21. Kelly O. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Dolzanski J. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Taylor R. ⚽, Kirkpatrick J. (A),
18', Booth L. 🟨,
29', Jacobs Ky. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Booth L. ↓, Draper R. ↑,
56', Cairns O. 🟨,
63', Stirling B. ↓, Lynch E. ↑,
71', Draper R. 🟨,
73', Yates M. ↓, Brown A. ↑,
73', MacLeman R. ↓, Jones R. ↑,
73', Taylor M. ↓, Golding D. ↑,
77', Lynch E. 🟨,
77', Golding D. 🟨,
78', Kirkpatrick J. ↓, Aitken M. ↑,
78', Bilham K. 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, Jones R. ⚽,
90+1', O'Reilly E. 🟨,
90+2', Cairns O. 🟨,

Preview

Stenhousemuir is Confirmed as championsnQualified for League One

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stenhousemuir won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Stenhousemuir is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Stenhousemuir won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 32-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Stenhousemuir won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stenhousemuir
Scottish League Two
06.04.24	Stenhousemuir - East Fife	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Dumbarton - Stenhousemuir	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Stenhousemuir - Peterhead	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Forfar Athletic - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Stenhousemuir - Spartans	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TTTTT
- Elgin City
Scottish League Two
06.04.24	Elgin City - Spartans	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	East Fife - Elgin City	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Elgin City - Forfar Athletic	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Stranraer - Elgin City	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Elgin City - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
17.02.24	Elgin City - Stenhousemuir	2:2
23.12.23	Stenhousemuir - Elgin City	2:0
24.10.23	Elgin City - Stenhousemuir	1:1
11.04.23	Elgin City - Stenhousemuir	1:1
28.01.23	Stenhousemuir - Elgin City	2:0
03.12.22	Elgin City - Stenhousemuir	2:1
17.09.22	Stenhousemuir - Elgin City	3:3

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