Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 1

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Borough Briggs (Elgin)


	Elgin City		Inverness

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.33	1.5
	5	4	1.5
	5.3	4.35	1.5
	5.37	4.2	1.5
	5.5	4	1.5
	5.53	4.25	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.2 ↑ (5.16)	4.19 ↓ (4.2)	1.5 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elgin City
17.5%

Draw
21.8%

Inverness
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

21.7%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

21%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elgin City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Elgin City - Inverness Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Elgin will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Inverness will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elgin City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 4)
47', 0 - 1, Bavidge A. ⚽, Thompson R. (A),
50', 0 - 2, Thompson R. ⚽,
62', 0 - 3, Allan P. (Pen),
85', 1 - 3, Gallagher M. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 4, Bavidge A. (Pen),

Preview

Elgin is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Inverness has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Inverness is considered a favorite.

We predict that Inverness will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elgin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.6:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Elgin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.8:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elgin City
Scottish League Two
09.08.25	Elgin City - East Kilbride	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Annan Athletic - Elgin City	3:2 ✺
Scottish League Cup
26.07.25	St. Johnstone - Elgin City	8:0 ✺
19.07.25	Elgin City - East Kilbride	1:4 ✺
15.07.25	Inverness - Elgin City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Inverness CT
Scottish League One
09.08.25	Inverness - Peterhead	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Kelty Hearts - Inverness	0:3 ✺
Scottish League Cup
26.07.25	Raith Rovers - Inverness	5:1 ✺
22.07.25	East Kilbride - Inverness	2:6 ✺
19.07.25	Inverness - St. Johnstone	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
15.07.25	Inverness - Elgin City	2:0
Scottish Challenge Cup
09.10.21	Elgin City - Inverness	2:4
Scottish Cup
21.01.17	Elgin City - Inverness	1:2
Club Friendly
12.07.16	Elgin City - Inverness	0:3
13.07.13	Elgin City - Inverness	0:2

Upcoming Matches