Match Info

League One - Round 27

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: New Central Park (Kelty)


	Kelty Hearts		Inverness

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.9	1.4
	7.5	4.5	1.32
	6.7	4.35	1.4
	6.89	4.38	1.45
	6.64	4.33	1.45	Watch
	6.5	4	1.44
	7.11	4.27	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.83 ↓ (8.75)	4.25 ↓ (4.57)	1.41 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kelty Hearts
13.4%

Draw
21.6%

Inverness
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.4%

19.9%

69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10%

19.2%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kelty Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Inverness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inverness could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kelty Hearts - Inverness Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
46. Gourlay K. (G) 12. Fisher S. 35. Brydon J. 20. Corr D. 3. Paterson B. 6. Ferguson A. 15. Clay C. (C) 10. Murray I. 26. Cunningham R. 7. Moore L. 17. McCarvel L.	1. Munro R. (G) 14. MacLeod C. 6. Devine D. (C) 5. Savage R. 3. MacIntyre O. 8. Mackinnon A. 7. Allan P. 17. Sole L. 22. Alonge J. 36. Bavidge A. 19. Stewart A.
Substitutes
21. Adamson R. (G) 8. Arnott A. 24. Cooper C. 14. Graham J. 30. Leitch G. 18. Pettifer A. 2. Thomas M. 27. Wyllie J.	18. Chalmers J. 11. Longstaff L. 9. McKay B. 12. Robertson M. 21. Ross L. (G) 37. Willox K. 10. Wotherspoon D. 23. Zimba C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Savage R. 🟨,
59', McCarvel L. 🟨,
67', Cunningham R. ↓, Pettifer A. ↑,
67', Murray I. ↓, Graham J. ↑,
67', Sole L. ↓, McKay B. ↑,
67', Mackinnon A. ↓, Longstaff L. ↑,
77', Corr D. 🟨,
78', Alonge J. ↓, Willox K. ↑,
78', Bavidge A. ↓, Zimba C. ↑,
83', Zimba C. 🟨,
84', Moore L. ↓, Cooper C. ↑,
87', Ferguson A. ↓, Arnott A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kelty Hearts won 1.

Recent form of Kelty Hearts has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Inverness is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kelty Hearts may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Inverness is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kelty Hearts won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kelty Hearts won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.3).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Kelty Hearts: 5.2%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One
21.02.26	Cove Rangers - Kelty Hearts	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Kelty Hearts - Peterhead	1:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
07.02.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Kelty Hearts	2:0 ✺
Scottish League One
31.01.26	Kelty Hearts - Hamilton Academical	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Kelty Hearts - Stenhousemuir	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTLTL
- Inverness CT
Scottish Challenge Cup
24.02.26	Ayr United - Inverness	1:2 ✺
Scottish League One
21.02.26	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Hamilton Academical - Inverness	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Inverness - East Fife	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Queen of the South - Inverness	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
18.10.25	Inverness - Kelty Hearts	2:2
02.08.25	Kelty Hearts - Inverness	0:3
12.04.25	Inverness - Kelty Hearts	0:2
22.02.25	Kelty Hearts - Inverness	0:1
02.11.24	Inverness - Kelty Hearts	1:1
24.08.24	Kelty Hearts - Inverness	0:0
Scottish League Cup
09.07.22	Kelty Hearts - Inverness	0:1

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