Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 3

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Nike Arena (Elva)


	Elva		Levadia Tallinn U21

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.8	3.1
	2.12	3.7	2.68	Watch
	2.08	4.06	2.75
	2.19	4.13	2.54
	2.1	3.6	2.63
	2.09	3.9	2.73
	1.88	3.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.94)	3.85 ↑ (3.8)	2.78 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elva
44.1%

Draw
23.4%

Levadia Tallinn U21
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

24.2%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Levadia Tallinn U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Elva - Levadia Tallinn U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Reilson J. ⚽, Haabma K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
62', 1 - 1, Rodionov F. ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, Poldsaar K. ⚽,
80', 3 - 1, Burov K. ⚽,
82', 3 - 2, Timakov A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elva won 1.

Levadia U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Elva will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Elva won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:39. (average 1.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Elva won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Elva	31	15	6	10	47:44	3	51
5	Levadia U21	30	14	2	14	60:55	5	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Elva
Estonian Esiliiga
12.03.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - Elva	0:3 ✺
07.03.26	FC Tallinn - Elva	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.01.26	Tartu Kalev - Elva	2:4 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
09.11.25	Nõmme United - Elva	5:0 ✺
02.11.25	Elva - Flora U21	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWLW
- Levadia Tallinn U21
Estonian Esiliiga
16.03.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Nõmme United U21	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Nõmme United	3:2 ✺
27.10.25	Viimsi JK - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
23.10.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Elva	2:1
09.08.25	Elva - Levadia Tallinn U21	2:0
01.06.25	Elva - Levadia Tallinn U21	2:2
13.04.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Elva	3:2
24.10.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Elva	0:0
03.08.24	Elva - Levadia Tallinn U21	2:0
15.06.24	Elva - Levadia Tallinn U21	2:3

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