The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Elva 42%
Draw 24.6%
Levadia Tallinn U21 33.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.3%
23.8%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
24.6%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Levadia Tallinn U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elva than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadia Tallinn U21 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Elva - Levadia Tallinn U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 3)
46', 1 - 0, Prii R. ⚽,
54', 1 - 1, Pavlovits V. ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, Pavlovits V. ⚽,
65', 2 - 2, Mbuthia J. ⚽,
73', 2 - 3, Tsernjakov A. ⚽,
74', 3 - 3, Lindmae R. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elva won 3.
In recent outings, Elva has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Levadia U21 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Elva could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Elva has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:39 (averaging 1.7:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Elva against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 18:14 goals (averaging 2:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Levadia U21
34
17
3
14
67:59
8
54
5
Elva
34
15
8
11
50:51
-1
53
Last Results with these Odds
Levadia Tallinn U21 - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.82%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.