Match Info

ESTONIA: Esiliiga - Round 24

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Nike Arena (Elva)


	Elva		Paide U21

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	4.75	4.1
	1.52	4.75	4.33	Watch
	1.53	4.87	4.4
	1.55	4.86	4.24
	1.57	4.5	3.9
	1.53	4.6	4.43
	1.52	4.75	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.4)	4.73 ↓ (5.1)	4.25 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elva
59.3%

Draw
19.2%

Paide U21
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

18%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

16.9%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elva's form might have worsened.

Paide U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elva than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paide U21 than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paide U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Elva - Paide U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Elva will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kruus K. (G) 2. Harm H. 16. Thomson M. 3. Kuismala J. 29. Lani G. 27. Laaneots D. 15. Jaagant R. 10. Reilson J. (C) 9. Villems M. 28. Lehter D. 18. Poldsaar K.	56. Sapp M. (G) 65. Gomis M. 32. Kiik K. 4. Kane R. 71. Kalla K. 22. Soo S. 62. Gueye M. 7. Riiberg H. (C) 72. Kuuse J. 9. Piht K. 63. Kanne K.
Substitutes
22. Alev P. 23. Harm H. 13. Kanter J. 25. Karasjov N. 17. Kuresoo J. 5. Paring R. 26. Saal K. 12. Savimagi A. (G) 8. Tinn K.	86. Aasma S. 45. Hulko R. 70. Isakar R. (G) 79. Kookmaa L. 46. Reivik K. 64. Schuts S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Piht K. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Reilson J. ⚽,
34', Lehter D. 🟨,
43', Kane R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Soo S. 🟨,
47', 2 - 1, Reilson J. (Pen),
50', Lani G. 🟨,
63', Piht K. ↓, Reivik K. ↑,
65', Gueye M. 🟨,
67', Gomis M. 🟨,
68', Jaagant R. ↓, Karasjov N. ↑,
68', Villems M. ↓, Alev P. ↑,
71', Reilson J. 🟨,
78', 3 - 1, Lehter D. ⚽,
85', Reilson J. ↓, Harm H. ↑,
85', Lehter D. ↓, Kanter J. ↑,
90+1', Alev P. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+6', Gueye M. 🟥,
90+7', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Elva
Estonian Esiliiga
17.08.24	Viimsi JK - Elva	2:1 ✺
10.08.24	FC Tallinn - Elva	3:4 ✺
03.08.24	Elva - Levadia Tallinn U21	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Elva - Flora U21	1:3 ✺
20.07.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Elva	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 LWWLT
- Paide U21
Estonian Esiliiga
17.08.24	Paide U21 - Flora U21	2:4 ✺
11.08.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Paide U21	3:0 ✺
05.08.24	Tabasalu - Paide U21	1:3 ✺
27.07.24	Paide U21 - Tartu Welco	1:2 ✺
20.07.24	FC Tallinn - Paide U21	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
29.06.24	Paide U21 - Elva	1:2
07.04.24	Elva - Paide U21	2:2
28.09.23	Elva - Paide U21	1:0
13.08.23	Paide U21 - Elva	0:1
29.06.23	Elva - Paide U21	0:3
09.03.23	Paide U21 - Elva	6:2
17.09.22	Elva - Paide U21	9:1

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