Match Info

ESTONIA: Esiliiga - Round 22

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Kalevi Keskstaadion (Tallinn)


	Tallinna Kalev U21		Paide U21

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.1	3
	1.83	4.5	3	Watch
	1.82	4.84	3.02
	1.78	4.4	3.26
	1.83	4.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.85)	4.47 ↑ (4)	3.06 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev U21
50%

Draw
20.3%

Paide U21
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

22.6%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

23.5%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Paide U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev U21 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paide U21 than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	6.7%	66.7%

Tallinna Kalev U21 - Paide U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kalev U21 will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Paide U21 will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paide U21: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lepp S. (G) 17. Palutaja H. 3. Kajari E. 23. Tsernjakov J. 2. Kollo A. 10. Nigula R. 14. Toivonen A. 6. Sinilaid S. 15. Siitam M.J. 19. Poder J. 8. Laasner K. (C)	84. Hirbaum K. M. (G) 74. Ivanov K. 32. Kiik K. 4. Kane R. 71. Kalla K. 25. Gueye M. 7. Riiberg H. (C) 22. Soo S. 72. Kuuse J. 9. Piht K. 63. Kanne K.
Substitutes
26. Ernits R. 9. Kaupmees R. 16. Kirt A. 13. Neidla R. (G) 11. Palu R. 20. Sal-Al-Saller D. 12. Surogin A. 7. Talu R. 27. Tamme M.	86. Aasma S. 64. Gomis M. 45. Hulko R. 70. Isakar R. (G) 73. Trofimov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Laasner K. ⚽,
28', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Laasner K. ⚽,
53', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
69', 🟥,
69', 🟨,
90', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna Kalev U21
Estonian Esiliiga
05.08.24	Viimsi JK - Tallinna Kalev U21	6:0 ✺
27.07.24	FC Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:2 ✺
23.07.24	Flora U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:3 ✺
20.07.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Elva	2:2 ✺
13.07.24	Harju JK Laagri - Tallinna Kalev U21	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.1 LTWTT
- Paide U21
Estonian Esiliiga
05.08.24	Tabasalu - Paide U21	1:3 ✺
27.07.24	Paide U21 - Tartu Welco	1:2 ✺
20.07.24	FC Tallinn - Paide U21	3:0 ✺
13.07.24	Paide U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	3:1 ✺
07.07.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Paide U21	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
07.07.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Paide U21	3:5
09.03.24	Paide U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	0:1

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