Match Info

ESTONIA: Esiliiga - Round 26

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Tabasalu Arena (Tabasalu)


	Tabasalu		Tartu Welco

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.75	1.41
	5.5	4.75	1.42	Watch
	5.05	4.74	1.44
	5.26	4.86	1.45	Watch
	5.66	4.65	1.42
	5.5	4.75	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.37 ↑ (4.91)	4.75 ↓ (5)	1.43 (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tabasalu
17%

Draw
19.2%

Tartu Welco
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

18.1%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

17.7%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tabasalu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Tartu Welco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Tabasalu - Tartu Welco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kristel R. (G) 99. Paasma O. 25. Raaper H. 16. Pelt K. 30. Rumberg R. 13. Subka M. (C) 32. Anepaio A. 80. Taal J. 7. Pormeister K. 14. Vaherna M. 47. Ennuste K.	22. Agarmaa M. (G) 4. Sossi M. 32. Salu R. 5. Reesar R. 13. Sokolov I. 8. Tekko T. (C) 16. Songisepp A. 95. Saupold T. 20. Mugra M. 26. Hoffmann T. 11. Magi M.
Substitutes
18. Janter J. 20. Mikker M. 55. Poder M. 17. Riigov R. 22. Rocco R. 21. Toompuu M. 42. Vaher M. (G)	63. Jurisson K. E. (G) 6. Kala R. 80. Mark K. 9. Mottus E. 18. Penu M. 70. Petmanson J. 19. Raudmae J. 21. Vool A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Mugra M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', 0 - 2, Mugra M. ⚽,
56', 0 - 3, Mugra M. ⚽,
60', Taal J. ↓, Toompuu M. ↑,
60', Vaherna M. ↓, Mikker M. ↑,
63', Toompuu M. 🟨,
63', Songisepp A. ↓, Vool A. ↑,
64', Tekko T. ↓, Mark K. ↑,
64', Hoffmann T. ↓, Penu M. ↑,
68', Anepaio A. ↓, Janter J. ↑,
69', Mugra M. ↓, Petmanson J. ↑,
76', Sokolov I. 🟨,
77', Magi M. ↓, Mottus E. ↑,
85', 0 - 4, Mottus E. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga
24.08.24	Tabasalu - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:3 ✺
20.08.24	Viimsi JK - Tabasalu	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Tabasalu - FC Tallinn	1:0 ✺
11.08.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tabasalu	2:1 ✺
05.08.24	Tabasalu - Paide U21	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLWLL
- Tartu JK Welco
Estonian Esiliiga
24.08.24	Tartu Welco - Elva	0:0 ✺
20.08.24	FC Tallinn - Tartu Welco	1:3 ✺
17.08.24	Harju JK Laagri - Tartu Welco	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Tartu Welco - Viimsi JK	1:3 ✺
05.08.24	Tartu Welco - Flora U21	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
30.05.24	Tabasalu - Tartu Welco	1:3
09.03.24	Tartu Welco - Tabasalu	2:0
Estonian Cup
24.07.22	Tabasalu - Tartu Welco	3:1

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