Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 18

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Elvas		Peniche

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	4.8
	1.6	3.5	5.2
	1.67	3.23	5.61
	1.71	3.42	4.92
	1.6	3.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.59)	3.41 ↓ (3.5)	5.15 ↓ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elvas
55.6%

Draw
26.7%

Peniche
17.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.1%

25.9%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

24.6%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Peniche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Elvas - Peniche Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 3).

Elvas in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Peniche is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Elvas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Elvas is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Elvas to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Elvas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- O Elvas CAD
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
01.02.25	SB Castelo Branco - Elvas	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Elvas - Alcains	3:0 ✺
19.01.25	Os Marialvas - Elvas	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
12.01.25	Elvas - Vitoria Guimarães	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
05.01.25	Elvas - Arronches Benfica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WWWWT
- GD Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
02.02.25	Peniche - Fatima	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Pero Pinheiro - Peniche	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Peniche - Alverca B	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Sertanense - Peniche	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	União de Coimbra - Peniche	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
29.09.24	Peniche - Elvas	2:3

Elvas - Peniche