PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 18
Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday
Elvas
Peniche
1
X
2
1.6
3.4
4.8
1.6
3.5
5.2
1.67
3.23
5.61
1.71
3.42
4.92
1.6
3.5
5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.64 ↑ (1.59)
3.41 ↓ (3.5)
5.15 ↓ (5.31)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Elvas 55.6%
Draw 26.7%
Peniche 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.1%
25.9%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.1%
24.6%
16.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Peniche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Elvas - Peniche Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 3).
Elvas in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Peniche is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Elvas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Elvas is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Elvas to win the game is with odds 1.58.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Elvas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2
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