Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taça de Portugal - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino (Elvas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 3
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Norway	VG+
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	SportKlub 3
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
World	Disney+


	Elvas		Tirsense

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.9	3.2	4.5	Watch
	1.91	3.16	4.77
	1.84	3.27	4.63	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4.2
	1.89	3.35	4.47
	1.9	3.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.86)	3.23 ↓ (3.28)	4.47 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elvas
50.1%

Draw
29%

Tirsense
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

28.4%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

27.1%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Elvas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Tirsense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Elvas - Tirsense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ribeiro P. (G) 4. Cardoso R. 66. Segbenu Pinponsu Junior B. 3. Djalo M. (C) 22. Gomes C. 19. Nketia D. 18. Innusah H. 95. Lucao 8. Bandeira J. 29. Enoh L. 11. Almara F.	16. Goncalves T. (G) 7. Pereira J. 13. Joao P. (C) 33. Silva J. 27. Martins J. 14. Junior Franco 8. Rodrigues D. 10. Mesquita B. 17. Fontes A. 9. Alves J. 18. Carvalho B.
Substitutes
5. Baffour P. 28. Cabral G. 10. Dias L. 61. Freire D. 20. Gomes E. 78. Henrique Cavalcante 12. Mosca H. (G) 6. Sandio R. 21. Vieira E.	19. Alex Reis 74. Alves F. 4. Cardoso G. 21. Govanny Morais 5. Maia R. 1. Matos J. (G) 31. Monteiro O. 20. Nascimento R. 25. Tulio
Coaches
da Cunha Hipolito P. M.	Simoes E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Silva J. 🟨,
43', Almara F. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Junior Franco ⚽, Mesquita B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Segbenu Pinponsu Junior B. ↓, Baffour P. ↑,
53', 0 - 2, Rodrigues D. ⚽,
64', Gomes C. ↓, Dias L. ↑,
64', Bandeira J. ↓, Henrique Cavalcante ↑,
72', Mesquita B. ↓, Alex Reis ↑,
72', Alves J. ↓, Govanny Morais ↑,
79', Almara F. ↓, Vieira E. ↑,
79', Innusah H. ↓, Cabral G. ↑,
82', Lucao 🟨,
86', Carvalho B. ↓, Tulio ↑,
87', Fontes A. ↓, Maia R. ↑,
90+3', Rodrigues D. ↓, Cardoso G. ↑,

Preview

Elvas in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tirsense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Elvas is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Elvas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Including matches at home between the teams Elvas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- O Elvas CAD
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
22.02.25	Elvas - União de Coimbra	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Marinhense - Elvas	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Elvas - Peniche	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	SB Castelo Branco - Elvas	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Elvas - Alcains	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTWW
- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
22.02.25	Tirsense - Pevidem	3:0 ✺
16.02.25	Vianense - Tirsense	3:2 ✺
09.02.25	Tirsense - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Joane - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Tirsense - Bragança	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
22.10.23	Elvas - Tirsense	2:1 penalties

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