PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 19
Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday
Marinhense
Elvas
1
X
2
3.15
2.85
2.32
3.66
2.75
2.23
3.11
2.75
2.42
3.15
2.85
2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)
3.27 ↑ (3.18)
2.8 (2.8)
2.32 (2.32)
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marinhense 28%
Draw 32.7%
Elvas 39.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.5%
32.4%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.6%
32.5%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marinhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Elvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Marinhense - Elvas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Lucao ⚽,
28', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
Marinhense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Elvas is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Elvas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Elvas will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Marinhense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
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