Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 20 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio George Capwell (Guayaquil)

Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)


	Emelec		Huracán Buenos Aires

	1	X	2
	2.63	3	3	Watch
	2.6	3	2.75
	2.65	3.1	2.75
	2.57	3.05	3.05
	2.55	2.88	2.8
	2.61	3.04	2.88	Watch
	2.55	3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.04)	3.01 ↓ (3.24)	2.87 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Emelec
36.1%

Draw
31.2%

Huracán Buenos Aires
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

28.6%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

25.7%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Emelec's form might have worsened.

Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Huracán Buenos Aires's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	63.6%	27.3%

Emelec - Huracán Buenos Aires Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Huracán will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Huracán could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.04.23	Emelec - El Nacional	1:2 ✺
09.04.23	SD Aucas - Emelec	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.04.23	Danubio - Emelec	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.04.23	Delfín - Emelec	3:2 ✺
19.03.23	Emelec - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.04.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Argentinos Juniors	0:0 ✺
12.04.23	Belgrano - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
09.04.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - River Plate	0:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.04.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Guaraní Asuncion	4:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.04.23	Racing - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLWL

Upcoming Matches