Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 10

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli)

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Angola	Z Sport 2
Asia	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play, Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Empoli		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	8	4.33	1.4	Watch
	7.25	4.5	1.44
	7.9	4.45	1.43	Watch
	8.94	4.76	1.44
	8.27	4.51	1.45	Watch
	7.5	4.4	1.44
	8.3	4.9	1.45	Watch
	8	4.5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.02 ↑ (7.06)	4.54 ↓ (4.57)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Empoli
12%

Draw
21.2%

Inter Milan
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.5%

20.9%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9%

20%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.4%	7.1%	90.6%

Empoli - Inter Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (76 of 83 users predict this - 91.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.59% – 97.55%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 2. Goglichidze S. 34. Ismajli A. 21. Viti M. 11. Gyasi E. (C) 93. Maleh Y. 8. Anjorin F. 13. Cacace L. 10. Fazzini J. 17. Solbakken O. 29. Colombo L.	1. Sommer Y. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 6. de Vrij S. 95. Bastoni A. 36. Darmian M. 16. Frattesi D. 23. Barella N. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 32. Dimarco F. 10. Martinez La. (C) 9. Thuram M.
Substitutes
16. Belardinelli L. 98. Brancolini F. (G) 22. De Sciglio M. 19. Ekong E. 5. Grassi A. 32. Haas N. 6. Henderson L. 90. Konate I. 35. Marianucci L. 9. Pellegri P. 3. Pezzella G. 7. Sambia J. 12. Seghetti J. (G) 31. Tosto L.	8. Arnautovic M. 21. Asllani K. 52. Berenbruch T. 17. Buchanan T. 11. Correa J. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 2. Dumfries D. 13. Martinez J. (G) 42. Palacios T. 28. Pavard B. 99. Taremi M. 7. Zielinski P.
Coaches
D'Aversa R.	Inzaghi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Goglichidze S. 🟥,
38', Cacace L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Solbakken O. ↓, De Sciglio M. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Frattesi D. ⚽, Darmian M. (A),
57', Maleh Y. ↓, Henderson L. ↑,
57', Anjorin F. ↓, Pezzella G. ↑,
62', Bastoni A. 🟨,
65', Dimarco F. ↓, Dumfries D. ↑,
65', Bastoni A. ↓, Pavard B. ↑,
65', Mkhitaryan H. ↓, Zielinski P. ↑,
66', Colombo L. ↓, Pellegri P. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Frattesi D. ⚽, Martinez La. (A),
75', Thuram M. ↓, Taremi M. ↑,
77', Gyasi E. ↓, Sambia J. ↑,
79', 0 - 3, Martinez La. ⚽, Barella N. (A),
81', de Vrij S. ↓, Palacios T. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Empoli won 1.

Recent matches Empoli is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Inter is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Empoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Inter is certain favorite.

There will not play in Empoli: Ebuehi T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Inter: Buchanan T. (Shin Injury)

There are questionable in Empoli: Belardinelli L. (Injury) Esposito Se. (Injury) Maleh Y. (Injury) Perisan S. (Ankle Injury) Sazonov S. (Injury) Zurkowski S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Inter: Acerbi F. (Muscle Injury) Calhanoglu H. (Thigh Injury) Carlos Augusto (Muscle Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Empoli won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 10:29 (average 0.7:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Empoli won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 0:10 (average 0:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
27.10.24	Parma - Empoli	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Empoli - Napoli	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Lazio - Empoli	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Empoli - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.09.24	Torino - Empoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TLLTW
- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
27.10.24	Inter Milan - Juventus	4:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.10.24	Young Boys - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.10.24	Roma - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Inter Milan - Torino	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.24	Inter Milan - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
01.04.24	Inter Milan - Empoli	2:0
24.09.23	Empoli - Inter Milan	0:1
23.04.23	Empoli - Inter Milan	0:3
23.01.23	Inter Milan - Empoli	0:1
06.05.22	Inter Milan - Empoli	4:2
Coppa Italia
19.01.22	Inter Milan - Empoli	3:2 ET
Italian Serie A
27.10.21	Empoli - Inter Milan	0:2

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