Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: LEAG Energie Stadion (Cottbus)

Referee: Alt P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 2
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, RBB Berlin, RBB Brandenburg, RBB TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Energie Cottbus		Dynamo Dresden

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.2
	2.9	3.6	2.2
	2.9	3.4	2.3
	3.08	3.67	2.31
	2.98	3.54	2.24	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.2
	2.88	3.59	2.26	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.81)	3.53 ↑ (3.5)	2.25 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Energie Cottbus
32.2%

Draw
26.4%

Dynamo Dresden
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

26.6%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

26.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Energie Cottbus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Energie Cottbus - Dynamo Dresden Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Cottbus will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cottbus: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bethke E. (G) 3. Rorig H. 19. Kusic F. 27. Slamar D. 28. Bretschneider N. 10. Cigerci T. 5. Pelivan D. 20. Borgmann A. (C) 22. Copado L. 18. Engelhardt E. 23. Krauss M.	1. Schreiber T. (G) 15. Kammerknecht C. 39. Kubatta D. 29. Boeder L. 28. Risch S. 17. Casar A. 11. Kother D. 27. Hauptmann N. 10. Lemmer J. 30. Kutschke S. (C) 22. Baur M.
Substitutes
4. Campulka T. 11. Halbauer P. 14. Hasse T. 32. Heidrich F. 6. Hofmann J. 15. Kaizer E. 1. Sebald A. (G) 13. Tallig E. 7. Thiele T.	6. Berger T. 23. Bunning L. 16. Heise P. 3. Hoti A. 14. Lehmann P. 26. Marx J. H. 21. Meissner R. 24. Menzel T. 37. Mesenholer D. (G)
Coaches
Wollitz C.	Stamm T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Baur M. ↓, Meissner R. ↑,
59', Kother D. ↓, Menzel T. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Kutschke S. ⚽, Menzel T. (A),
66', Risch S. ↓, Heise P. ↑,
66', Kammerknecht C. ↓, Hoti A. ↑,
67', Kubatta D. 🟨,
75', Krauss M. ↓, Thiele T. ↑,
77', Pelivan D. 🟨,
81', Bretschneider N. 🟨,
84', Bretschneider N. ↓, Tallig E. ↑,
84', Borgmann A. ↓, Halbauer P. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Thiele T. ⚽, Tallig E. (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cottbus won 1.

Cottbus in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dynamo Dresden is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dynamo Dresden will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cottbus: Thiele T. (Illness)

There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Lehmann P. (Back Injury) Oehmichen J. (Injury) Sterner J. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cottbus won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:12 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Cottbus won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Energie Cottbus
German 3 Bundesliga
18.01.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Energie Cottbus	0:2 ✺
20.12.24	Ingolstadt - Energie Cottbus	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Energie Cottbus - Hansa Rostock	3:1 ✺
07.12.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Energie Cottbus	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Energie Cottbus - Unterhaching	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTWWW
- Dynamo Dresden
German 3 Bundesliga
19.01.25	Dynamo Dresden - Viktoria Köln	2:3 ✺
21.12.24	Unterhaching - Dynamo Dresden	0:3 ✺
13.12.24	Dynamo Dresden - Waldhof Mannheim	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Sandhausen - Dynamo Dresden	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
09.08.24	Dynamo Dresden - Energie Cottbus	4:2
02.04.16	Energie Cottbus - Dynamo Dresden	0:2
17.10.15	Dynamo Dresden - Energie Cottbus	0:1
13.12.14	Dynamo Dresden - Energie Cottbus	1:0
03.08.14	Energie Cottbus - Dynamo Dresden	1:3
German 2 Bundesliga
04.04.14	Energie Cottbus - Dynamo Dresden	0:0
27.10.13	Dynamo Dresden - Energie Cottbus	1:0

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