Match Info

3. Liga - Round 23

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Audi Sportpark (Ingolstadt)

Referee: Rose N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Ingolstadt		Energie Cottbus

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.6	2.35	Watch
	2.52	3.75	2.38	Watch
	2.6	3.96	2.5
	2.55	3.86	2.39	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.3
	2.49	3.6	2.32	Watch
	2.57	3.8	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.21)	3.72 (3.72)	2.37 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
36.5%

Draw
24.7%

Energie Cottbus
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

25%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

24.2%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ingolstadt's form might have worsened.

Energie Cottbus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Energie Cottbus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ingolstadt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Energie Cottbus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Ingolstadt - Energie Cottbus Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Cottbus will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Eisele K. (G) 6. Antzoulas G. 32. Lorenz S. (C) 15. Scholz J. 24. Christensen G. 17. Besuschkow M. 8. Carlsen F. 19. Rosenlocher L. 22. Costly M. 29. Kugel J. 44. Kehrer E.	33. Funk M. (G) 3. Rorig H. 23. Awortwie-Grant N. 2. Manu K. S. 21. Guwara L. 8. Michelbrink L. 5. Pelivan D. 20. Borgmann A. (C) 11. Hannemann M. 18. Engelhardt E. 10. Cigerci T.
Substitutes
20. Deichmann Y. 30. Drakulic O. 34. Frode L. 5. Gul E. 2. Hoppe M. 47. Klein D. (G) 14. Plath M. 7. Sturm Y. 13. Toye M.	37. Biankadi M. 19. Boziaris J. 31. Butler J. 4. Campulka T. 22. Cvjetinovic M. 17. Moustfa C. Y. 1. Sebald A. (G) 44. Straudi S. 25. Tattermusch T.
Coaches
Wittmann S.	Wollitz C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Antzoulas G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Christensen G. 🟨,
55', Guwara L. ↓, Butler J. ↑,
64', Kugel J. ↓, Toye M. ↑,
65', Kehrer E. ↓, Sturm Y. ↑,
81', Toye M. ↓, Drakulic O. ↑,
82', Hannemann M. ↓, Moustfa C. Y. ↑,
88', Rosenlocher L. ↓, Deichmann Y. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Cottbus has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ingolstadt won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Ingolstadt	7	2	2	3	7:11	-4	8

Last Results with these Odds

Ingolstadt - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.01%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
31.01.26	Hansa Rostock - Ingolstadt	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Ingolstadt - VfB Stuttgart II	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Jahn Regensburg - Ingolstadt	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Ingolstadt	2:2 ✺
13.12.25	Ingolstadt - 1860 München	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWWTL
- Energie Cottbus
German 3 Bundesliga
31.01.26	Energie Cottbus - Hoffenheim II	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Energie Cottbus - Schweinfurt	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Saarbrücken - Energie Cottbus	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.01.26	Energie Cottbus - Altglienicke	2:2 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
19.12.25	Energie Cottbus - Jahn Regensburg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
30.08.25	Energie Cottbus - Ingolstadt	1:1
17.05.25	Energie Cottbus - Ingolstadt	1:4
20.12.24	Ingolstadt - Energie Cottbus	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga
11.05.14	Ingolstadt - Energie Cottbus	2:0
08.12.13	Energie Cottbus - Ingolstadt	1:2
09.12.12	Energie Cottbus - Ingolstadt	1:1
03.08.12	Ingolstadt - Energie Cottbus	2:2

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