Match Info

3. Liga - Round 30

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: LEAG Energie Stadion (Cottbus)

Referee: Bartnitzki D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Energie Cottbus		Ulm 1846

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	4.5	Watch
	1.63	4.1	4.6
	1.58	4.25	4.85	Watch
	1.57	4.4	5.42
	1.59	4.18	4.92	Watch
	1.57	3.8	4.75
	1.61	4.08	4.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.75)	4.09 ↑ (3.92)	4.86 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Energie Cottbus
58.3%

Draw
22.6%

Ulm 1846
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

23.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

22.7%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Energie Cottbus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Energie Cottbus's performance.

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ulm 1846 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Energie Cottbus - Ulm 1846 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Energie Cottbus will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Funk M. (G) 3. Rorig H. 22. Cvjetinovic M. 2. Manu K. S. 23. Awortwie-Grant N. 5. Pelivan D. 8. Michelbrink L. 31. Butler J. 10. Cigerci T. 11. Hannemann M. 18. Engelhardt E.	39. Ortag C. (G) 18. Bazzoli L. 3. Vukancic N. 21. Seegert M. 19. Meier J. 14. Dressel D. 20. Pepic M. 32. Kolle N. 45. Mamba S. 43. Dajaku L. 9. Roser L.
Substitutes
37. Biankadi M. 19. Boziaris J. 4. Campulka T. 24. Lucoqui A. 17. Moustfa C. Y. 1. Sebald A. (G) 44. Straudi S. 25. Tattermusch T. 7. Thiele T.	7. Aksakal E. 49. Becker A. 11. Chessa D. 31. Ehe B. 26. El-Zein A. 25. Loder E. 27. Mazagg L. 1. Schmitt M. (G) 8. Westermeier B.
Coaches
Wollitz C.	Dotchev P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Dajaku L. ⚽, Roser L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hannemann M. ↓, Moustfa C. Y. ↑,
54', Bazzoli L. 🟨,
65', Seegert M. 🟨,
69', Cvjetinovic M. ↓, Biankadi M. ↑,
69', Butler J. ↓, Thiele T. ↑,
70', Mamba S. ↓, Chessa D. ↑,
70', Vukancic N. ↓, Mazagg L. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Engelhardt E. ⚽, Biankadi M. (A),
81', Michelbrink L. ↓, Boziaris J. ↑,
82', Dressel D. 🟨,
83', Roser L. ↓, Westermeier B. ↑,
83', Seegert M. ↓, Becker A. ↑,
84', Dajaku L. ↓, Loder E. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Cottbus has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ulm has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ulm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cottbus is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cottbus won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Ulm 1846 - the odds 3.8 are the expected chance of winning is 24.2%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Energie Cottbus
German 3 Bundesliga
13.03.26	Alemannia Aachen - Energie Cottbus	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Energie Cottbus - Hansa Rostock	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	VfB Stuttgart II - Energie Cottbus	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Energie Cottbus - Verl	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWTW
- Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga
15.03.26	Ulm 1846 - Ingolstadt	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Schweinfurt - Ulm 1846	3:2 ✺
03.03.26	Ulm 1846 - Hoffenheim II	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Jahn Regensburg - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Ulm 1846 - Saarbrücken	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
19.10.25	Ulm 1846 - Energie Cottbus	1:2

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