Match Info

3. Liga - Round 25

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Donaustadion (Ulm)

Referee: Grund F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Ulm 1846		Saarbrücken

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.15	Watch
	2.95	3.4	2.25
	3	3.5	2.18	Watch
	3.12	3.56	2.23
	3.04	3.67	2.13	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.15
	2.9	3.32	2.21	Watch
	2.9	3.5	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.92)	3.44 ↓ (3.52)	2.19 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
31.2%

Draw
26.8%

Saarbrücken
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

26.4%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

25.5%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Ulm 1846 - Saarbrücken Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ulm will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Saarbrücken will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulm (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmitt M. (G) 19. Meier J. 21. Seegert M. 18. Bazzoli L. 32. Kolle N. 20. Pepic M. 14. Dressel D. (C) 11. Chessa D. 23. Brandt M. 43. Dajaku L. 25. Loder E.	13. Menzel P. (G) 7. Rizzuto C. 18. Wilhelm L. 32. Bormuth R. 27. Bichsel J. 6. Sontheimer P. (C) 5. Krahn E. 20. Pick F. 10. Rabihic K. 17. Elongo-Yombo R. 30. Baumann D.
Substitutes
7. Aksakal E. 49. Becker A. 26. El-Zein A. 45. Mamba S. 27. Mazagg L. 36. Mrden M. 39. Ortag C. (G) 3. Vukancic N. 8. Westermeier B.	23. Civeja T. 2. Fahrner P. 15. Kamara A. 11. Multhaup M. 1. Paterok T. (G) 39. Schmidt P. 4. Sonnenberg S. 19. Vasiliadis S. 24. Wollschlager L.
Coaches
Dotchev P.	Giannikis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Pick F. 🟨,
45+1', Bichsel J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Sontheimer P. ⚽, Rizzuto C. (A),
71', Loder E. ↓, El-Zein A. ↑,
71', Brandt M. ↓, Mamba S. ↑,
73', Rabihic K. ↓, Kamara A. ↑,
73', Baumann D. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
81', Meier J. ↓, Becker A. ↑,
83', Kamara A. ↓, Vasiliadis S. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Mamba S. ⚽,
89', Elongo-Yombo R. ↓, Sonnenberg S. ↑,
90+3', Kolle N. ↓, Mazagg L. ↑,
90+3', Dajaku L. ↓, Aksakal E. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulm won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ulm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Saarbrücken will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ulm won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulm won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Saarbrucken	8	4	2	2	19:12	7	14

Last Results with these Odds

Saarbrücken - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.75%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga
15.02.26	Ulm 1846 - Alemannia Aachen	1:3 ✺
06.02.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Ulm 1846 - Duisburg	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Ulm 1846	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Ulm 1846 - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWWL
- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
14.02.26	Saarbrücken - VfB Stuttgart II	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Saarbrücken	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Saarbrücken - Osnabrück	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	Viktoria Köln - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Saarbrücken - Energie Cottbus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
16.09.25	Saarbrücken - Ulm 1846	3:1
19.12.23	Saarbrücken - Ulm 1846	2:1
06.08.23	Ulm 1846 - Saarbrücken	1:1
German Regionalliga Sudwest
28.09.19	Saarbrücken - Ulm 1846	2:1
04.05.19	Saarbrücken - Ulm 1846	2:1
26.10.18	Ulm 1846 - Saarbrücken	1:1
18.11.17	Saarbrücken - Ulm 1846	2:1

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