Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 34

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Enfield Town		Lewes

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	2.75
	2.17	3.79	2.83
	2.17	3.79	2.83
	2.19	3.62	2.75
	2.2	3.6	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.93)	3.68 ↓ (3.8)	2.78 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Enfield Town
42%

Draw
25%

Lewes
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

24.1%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

23.5%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Enfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Enfield Town's form might have worsened.

Lewes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Enfield Town than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Enfield Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lewes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Enfield Town - Lewes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Enfield won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Lewes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Enfield will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Enfield won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 28-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Enfield won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Enfield Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.02.24	Enfield Town - Wingate & Finchley	2:2 ✺
20.02.24	Enfield Town - Kingstonian	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Carshalton Athletic - Enfield Town	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Canvey Island - Enfield Town	0:3 ✺
30.01.24	Enfield Town - Billericay Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTTWL
- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
02.03.24	Lewes - Canvey Island	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Horsham - Lewes	1:3 ✺
17.02.24	Lewes - Chatham Town	0:3 ✺
10.02.24	Hastings United - Lewes	1:3 ✺
06.02.24	Lewes - Billericay Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.10.23	Lewes - Enfield Town	4:0
11.03.23	Lewes - Enfield Town	1:0
15.10.22	Enfield Town - Lewes	2:4
08.01.22	Enfield Town - Lewes	1:4
11.09.21	Lewes - Enfield Town	4:1
19.09.20	Enfield Town - Lewes	4:1
03.03.20	Enfield Town - Lewes	1:1

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