Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 39

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Enfield Town		Truro City

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.62
	4.6	3.6	1.71
	4.59	3.6	1.72
	5	3.52	1.72
	5.1	3.52	1.66
	4.6	3.6	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.7 ↓ (6.33)	3.57 ↓ (3.94)	1.69 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Enfield Town
19.6%

Draw
25.8%

Truro City
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

23.5%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

22.8%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Enfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Truro City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Enfield Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Enfield Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Truro City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Enfield Town - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Harvey T. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Harvey T. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 1 - 2, Sidwell H. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, Knight O. ⚽,
90+7', 3 - 2, Knight O. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Enfield is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Truro in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Enfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Truro is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Enfield won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Enfield Town
English National League South
11.03.25	Enfield Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Salisbury - Enfield Town	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Enfield Town - Dorking Wanderers	0:2 ✺
25.02.25	Hornchurch - Enfield Town	3:1 ✺
22.02.25	Enfield Town - Tonbridge Angels	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLLL
- Truro City
English National League South
11.03.25	Chippenham Town - Truro City	0:3 ✺
08.03.25	Truro City - Welling United	3:2 ✺
04.03.25	Truro City - Boreham Wood	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Chesham United - Truro City	1:4 ✺
25.02.25	Truro City - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
24.08.24	Truro City - Enfield Town	3:1

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