Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - APERTURA - ROUND 17

Date: 1 May 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Sur (Envigado)

Referee: Mosquera W. (Col)


	Envigado		Atlético Huila

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	4	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.75
	1.96	3.15	3.9
	2.08	3.11	4.31
	2	3	3.8
	2	3.24	4.05
	2	3.2	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.02)	3.16 ↑ (3.04)	3.93 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Envigado
46.7%

Draw
29.6%

Atlético Huila
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

30.2%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

23.7%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Envigado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Atlético Huila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Envigado that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Huila than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Huila could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	25%	16.7%

Envigado - Atlético Huila Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Envigado will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Atlético Huila will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Envigado: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Envigado won 0.

Recent matches Envigado is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Huila is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético Huila could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Envigado will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Envigado won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 11-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Envigado won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera A
27.04.23	Deportivo Pereira - Envigado	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	Envigado - Atlético Nacional	0:0 ✺
13.04.23	Envigado - Deportes Tolima	2:1 ✺
08.04.23	Jaguares de Córdoba - Envigado	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Envigado - Once Caldas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTWLT
- Atlético Huila
Colombian Primera A
25.04.23	Atlético Huila - Independiente Medellín	2:3 ✺
22.04.23	Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Huila	2:1 ✺
17.04.23	Atlético Huila - Deportivo Pasto	1:1 ✺
11.04.23	Atlético Huila - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
07.04.23	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Huila	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
21.11.21	Envigado - Atlético Huila	0:1
05.10.19	Atlético Huila - Envigado	0:0
14.04.19	Envigado - Atlético Huila	1:1
28.10.18	Atlético Huila - Envigado	2:1
22.04.18	Envigado - Atlético Huila	0:3
21.10.17	Envigado - Atlético Huila	1:2
06.05.17	Atlético Huila - Envigado	2:0

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