Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Play Offs - Final

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Sur (Envigado)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Envigado		Once Caldas

	1	X	2
	4.20	3.50	1.83
	4.10	3.20	1.75
	4.40	3.25	1.84
	4.09	3.35	1.96
	4.78	3.25	1.83	Watch
	4.10	3.30	1.87
	4.20	3.50	1.83	Watch
	4.40	3.35	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (2.7)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)	1.84 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Envigado
21.7%

Draw
27.8%

Once Caldas
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

27.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Envigado's form might have worsened.

Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Once Caldas's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	50%	37.5%

Envigado - Once Caldas Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Envigado will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Torres E. ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, Cuesta Santos J. D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 0 - 3, Cardona J. ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 0-3.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 0.

Once Caldas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Once Caldas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 12:29. (average 0.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Envigado won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera B
27.07.26	Envigado - Real Cundinamarca	1:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
21.07.26	Once Caldas - Envigado	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
29.05.26	Envigado - Real Cartagena	1:1 ✺
25.05.26	Real Cartagena - Envigado	2:3 ✺
18.05.26	Envigado - Deportes Quindío	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLTWW
- Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A
26.07.26	Once Caldas - Cúcuta Deportivo	5:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
21.07.26	Once Caldas - Envigado	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
13.05.26	Junior Barranquilla - Once Caldas	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Once Caldas - Junior Barranquilla	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
21.07.26	Once Caldas - Envigado	3:0
Colombian Primera A
13.09.25	Once Caldas - Envigado	1:0
01.05.25	Envigado - Once Caldas	1:2
Club Friendly
13.01.25	Envigado - Once Caldas	0:2
Colombian Primera A
21.09.24	Envigado - Once Caldas	0:1
10.03.24	Once Caldas - Envigado	2:1
15.09.23	Once Caldas - Envigado	0:0

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