Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)

Referee: Bismark S. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Independiente Santa Fe		Envigado

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	5.75	Watch
	1.49	3.9	6.25
	1.58	3.7	5.9	Watch
	1.59	3.9	6.16
	1.22	5.23	16.18	Watch
	1.44	3.9	7
	1.61	3.84	5.57	Watch
	1.44	4.1	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.41)	4.06 ↑ (3.9)	7.6 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Santa Fe
63.9%

Draw
23.5%

Envigado
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

23.3%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

22.6%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Envigado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Independiente Santa Fe - Envigado Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Envigado will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Envigado (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mosquera A. (G) 22. Perlaza E. 3. Moreno V. 18. Olivera E. 32. Mafla C. 16. Torres D. 20. Velasquez Y. 17. Meli M. 8. Fernandez O. 23. Mosquera H. 9. Rodriguez A.	1. Montoya J. (G) 15. Cuervo S. 2. Palacios D. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 30. Agron B. 6. Palacio J. 18. Hurtado W. 21. Lopez E. 31. Berrio F. 34. Diaz L. 9. Londono S.
Substitutes
12. Asprilla W. (G) 28. Lopez E. 5. Melendez J. 19. Mora A. 21. Murillo E. 40. Palacios M. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 6. Sosa J. 10. Zapata A.	7. Dawson D. 11. Garces J. 39. Gomez L. 14. Hinestroza J. 3. Holguin J. 16. Ramirez N. 13. Soto T. 88. Tovar A. (G) 4. Uribe N.
Coaches
Bava J.	Orozco A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Mosquera H. (A),
14', Meli M. 🟨,
26', Cuervo S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Meli M. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
61', Velasquez Y. 🟨,
75', Rodriguez A. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
75', Velasquez Y. ↓, Murillo E. ↑,
77', Hurtado W. ↓, Soto T. ↑,
77', Londono S. ↓, Dawson D. ↑,
83', Lopez E. 🟨,
84', Palacio J. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
84', Berrio F. ↓, Garces J. ↑,
88', Murillo E. 🟨,
88', Perlaza E. 🟨,
90+2', Mosquera H. ↓, Melendez J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 4.

Santa Fe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Envigado is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Envigado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Santa Fe is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:15. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:4. (average 2.1:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
09.08.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
05.08.25	Internacional de Palmira - Independiente Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
02.08.25	Independiente Santa Fe - América de Cali	2:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
29.07.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Internacional de Palmira	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.07.25	Atlético Nacional - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWWT
- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera A
14.08.25	Deportivo Pasto - Envigado	0:1 ✺
10.08.25	Envigado - Junior Barranquilla	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Envigado - Deportivo La Equidad	1:1 ✺
24.07.25	Independiente Medellín - Envigado	3:4 ✺
20.07.25	Envigado - Deportivo Cali	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.6 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
28.02.25	Envigado - Independiente Santa Fe	1:7
20.07.24	Envigado - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1
27.01.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Envigado	3:1
23.08.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Envigado	2:0
04.03.23	Envigado - Independiente Santa Fe	3:2
02.10.22	Independiente Santa Fe - Envigado	1:0
10.04.22	Envigado - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0

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