The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Pasto 53.2%
Draw 29.6%
Envigado 17.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.6%
25.4%
14%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.8%
24.5%
13.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Pasto's form might have worsened.
Envigado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Pasto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.5%
30.8%
7.7%
Deportivo Pasto - Envigado Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Envigado will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Pasto: 35% – 88%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Martinez D. (C) 4. Caicedo L. 24. Alarcon A. 23. Rios J. 52. Bernal J. 17. Jaramillo F. 22. Camacho D. 70. Espinal F. 11. Mendez J. 21. Rivas J. 19. Valois Y.
1. Montoya J. (G) 15. Cuervo S. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 2. Palacios D. 30. Agron B. 6. Palacio J. 21. Lopez E. (C) 31. Berrio F. 18. Hurtado W. 34. Diaz L. 9. Londono S.
Substitutes
77. Bone F. 12. Cabezas V. (G) 6. Caicedo J. 20. Castano M. 9. Hurtado J. 3. Jimenez M. S. 18. Ordonez F. 28. Preciado P. 38. Villa F.
70. Araujo J. 20. Catano J. 7. Dawson D. 11. Garces J. 14. Hinestroza J. 3. Holguin J. 13. Soto T. 88. Tovar A. (G) 4. Uribe N.
Coaches
Ayala C.
Orozco A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Camacho D. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Berrio F. ⚽, Hurtado W. (A),
41', Caicedo L. 🟨,
45', Berrio F. 🟨,
45+4', Palacios D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Caicedo L. ↓, Jimenez M. S. ↑,
46', Espinal F. ↓, Castano M. ↑,
46', Camacho D. ↓, Bone F. ↑,
47', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
49', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
61', Mendez J. 🟨,
62', Jaramillo F. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
66', Gamboa Valencia J. J. 🟨,
70', Montoya J. 🟨,
71', Rivas J. ↓, Preciado P. ↑,
73', Rios J. 🟨,
74', Londono S. ↓, Araujo J. ↑,
78', Cuervo S. 🟨,
80', Lopez E. 🟨,
80', Preciado P. 🟨,
83', Hurtado W. ↓, Soto T. ↑,
84', Martinez D. 🟨,
86', Caicedo J. 🟥,
90+5', Berrio F. ↓, Dawson D. ↑,
90+8', Palacio J. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Deportivo Pasto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Envigado has had a series of home games.
In this match, Deportivo Pasto is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).
Colombia
South-america
Usa
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Martinez D. (C) 
Caicedo L. 
Bernal J. 
Bone F. 
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