What is the expert prediction for Equatorial Guinea vs Sudan?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Equatorial Guinea vs Sudan. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Equatorial Guinea vs Sudan Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, December 28, 2025)

Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Round 2

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Mohamed V (Casablanca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	AfroSport TV Africa, Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Cameroon	Canal 2 International
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Colombia	Win play, Win Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Equatorial-guinea	TVGE Internacional
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	Sportitalia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mali	ORTM
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
Norway	VG+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV7
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	SABC Plus, SuperSport PSL
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	4Seven, Channel 4
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Zambia	ZNBC 1


	Equatorial Guinea		Sudan

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.8	3.5	Watch
	2.38	2.72	3.8	Watch
	2.43	2.76	3.66	Watch
	2.4	2.7	3.4
	2.51	2.88	3.64	Watch
	2.42	2.66	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.66)	2.75 ↓ (3.25)	3.61 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Equatorial Guinea
39.2%

Draw
34.5%

Sudan
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Equatorial Guinea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Sudan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sudan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.6%	64.5%	4.8%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Equ Guinea will win (votes: 19 - 30.6%). Sudan will win (votes: 3 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 40 - 64.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 52.6% – 76.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Equ Guinea (votes: 2 - 6.9%). Tie (votes: 27 - 93.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Equ Guinea (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Equ Guinea (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Equ Guinea (votes: 4 - 12.9%). Tie (votes: 27 - 87.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Owono J. (G) FC Andorra 15. Akapo C. (C) Amazonas 21. Orozco E. Campionii Arges 16. Coco S. Torino 3. Anieboh M. San Sebastian Reyes 5. Mascarell O. Mallorca 6. Salvador I. Wisla Plock 14. Obiang P. Monza 7. Machin J. Vis Pesaro 20. Eneme S. Sparta Prague 24. Zuniga L. Real Madrid	21. Elneel M. (G) EL Merriekh Bentiu 25. Barglan S. Den Bosch 3. Saeed Ahmed M. Al-Hilal Omdurman 6. Karshom M. Al-Hilal Omdurman 12. Khamis B. (C) Al Ahly Tripoli 5. Khidir W. Al-Hilal Omdurman 8. Omer A. Al-Hilal Omdurman 13. Taifour A. CS Sfaxien 26. Abdallah A. Green Gully 14. Eisa M. Uthai Thani 10. Abdelrahman M. Al-Hilal Omdurman
Substitutes
27. Akogo G. Granada CF 19. Asue L. Shanghai Shenhua 4. Balboa A. Lugo 8. Buyla J. Numancia 13. Embela A. (G) Soneja 22. Ganet P. Persita 9. Hanza D. Viborg 28. Masogo A. Beroe 17. Miranda J. Kalamata 26. Nabil J. Nantes 18. Ngaah P. Real Avila 10. Nsue E. CF Intercity 12. Ondo C. Portland Timbers 23. Sapunga M. (G) Sekhukhune 2. Senra N. Recreativo Huelva	4. Abaker A. Al-Hilal Omdurman 16. Abooja M. (G) 1. Ali Aboeshren (G) Al-Hilal Omdurman 7. Awad Y. Al-Hilal Omdurman 23. Manan A. 11. Mano J. Al Ahly Benghazi 17. Mohamedein M. Al Akhdar 9. Mozamil Y. Al-Hilal Omdurman 22. Nooh A. G. Al Ahly Tripoli 19. Tabanja A. 27. Tia Asad M. 18. Zaid A.
Coaches
Obiang Bicogo J. M.	Kwesi Appiah J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Khidir W. 🟨,
25', Eneme S. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
41', Barglan S. 🟨,
45+3', Machin J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Salvador I. ↓, Nabil J. ↑,
69', Obiang P. ↓, Ganet P. ↑,
70', Machin J. ↓, Asue L. ↑,
72', Elneel M. 🟨,
72', Omer A. ↓, Mano J. ↑,
72', Abdallah A. ↓, Mozamil Y. ↑,
74', 0 - 1, Coco S. (Own goal),
77', Zuniga L. ↓, Nsue E. ↑,
80', Abdelrahman M. ↓, Abaker A. ↑,
87', Barglan S. ↓, Zaid A. ↑,
87', Akapo C. 🟨,

Preview

Sudan is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Equ Guinea is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Equ Guinea: Ndong B. (Red Card)

There will not play in Sudan: Alhassan S. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Sudan: Abuaagla M. (Injury) Eisa A. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Equ Guinea won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Equatorial Guinea
Africa Cup of Nations
24.12.25	Burkina Faso - Equatorial Guinea	2:1 ✺
Friendly
14.11.25	Kenya - Equatorial Guinea	0:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
13.10.25	Equatorial Guinea - Liberia	1:1 ✺
09.10.25	Malawi - Equatorial Guinea	Malawi awarded ✺
08.09.25	Equatorial Guinea - Tunisia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWT?L
- Sudan
Africa Cup of Nations
24.12.25	Algeria - Sudan	3:0 ✺
FIFA Arab Cup
09.12.25	Bahrain - Sudan	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Sudan - Iraq	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Algeria - Sudan	0:0 ✺
26.11.25	Sudan - Lebanon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
22.03.19	Sudan - Equatorial Guinea	1:4
08.09.18	Equatorial Guinea - Sudan	1:0

Equatorial Guinea - Sudan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide