Match Info

1. Lig - Round 35

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Esenler Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Erokspor		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.15	Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.3
	3.1	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3.08	3.66	2.21
	3.03	3.54	2.21	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.38
	3	3.42	2.19	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (4.28)	3.44 ↓ (3.59)	2.23 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erokspor
31.3%

Draw
27%

Kocaelispor
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

26%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

27.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erokspor's performance.

Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kocaelispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erokspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kocaelispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Erokspor - Kocaelispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Erokspor will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Erokspor (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Erokspor (5.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Erokspor (5.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kilicarslan E. (G) 70. Orak F. 14. Mert M. 5. Aytac S. 15. Nzaba F. 3. Korkmazoglu E. 8. Karaman A. 4. Kacar T. 26. Jack R. 12. Kayode O. 78. Fernandes J.	34. Sen B. (G) 22. Oguz A. 5. Appindangoye A. 88. Osmanpasa C. 3. Cinan M. 6. Pedrinho 72. Rivas R. 23. Yalcin S. 4. Vukovic J. 20. Mendes R. 17. Caglayan O.
Substitutes
10. Akyol U. 80. Aydogmus B. 9. Catakovic H. 77. Ceylan O. 99. Furat E. I. 98. Kafkasyali E. (G) 20. Keser B. 6. Laine J. 21. Oscar Pinchi 16. Yasar A.	70. Alici B. 8. Celik C. 35. Degirmenci G. (G) 19. Gedik E. 18. Gedik F. 41. Oztonga O. 9. Sagat A. 15. Serbest T. 45. Tunali M. 32. Yilmaz M.
Coaches
Ozkoylu O.	Tasdemir I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Kayode O. ⚽, Orak F. (A),
15', Rivas R. ↓, Alici B. ↑,
27', Korkmazoglu E. 🟨,
31', Oguz A. 🟨,
38', Kilicarslan E. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Caglayan O. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Vukovic J. ↓, Celik C. ↑,
58', Orak F. 🟨,
66', Karaman A. ↓, Oscar Pinchi ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Oscar Pinchi ⚽, Orak F. (A),
80', Yalcin S. ↓, Gedik F. ↑,
80', Cinan M. ↓, Gedik E. ↑,
81', Oguz A. ↓, Oztonga O. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Fernandes J. ⚽,
88', Fernandes J. ↓, Furat E. I. ↑,
88', Kayode O. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
90+2', Mert M. ↓, Yasar A. ↑,
90+2', Kacar T. ↓, Laine J. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Kocaelispor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kocaelispor will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Erokspor: Faye M. (Yellow Cards)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Erokspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erokspor
Turkish First League
14.04.25	Umraniyespor - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
09.04.25	Erokspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Çorum - Erokspor	3:3 ✺
31.03.25	Erokspor - Ankaragücü	3:1 ✺
14.03.25	Şanlıurfaspor - Erokspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TWTWW
- Kocaelispor
Turkish First League
10.04.25	Adanaspor - Kocaelispor	1:4 ✺
06.04.25	Bandırmaspor - Kocaelispor	2:2 ✺
31.03.25	Kocaelispor - Sakaryaspor	3:1 ✺
16.03.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
10.03.25	Kocaelispor - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
15.12.24	Kocaelispor - Erokspor	0:2
Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
24.11.19	Kocaelispor - Erokspor	2:0

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