Match Info

First League - Round 24

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Pavlodar)


	Ertis Pavlodar		Khan Tengri

	1	X	2
	1.17	6.25	12.5
	1.06	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.16	5.8	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.17)	4.35 ↓ (6)	8.5 ↓ (12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ertis Pavlodar
71.8%

Draw
18.7%

Khan Tengri
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.4%

15.1%

7.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ertis Pavlodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ertis Pavlodar's form might have worsened.

Khan Tengri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Ertis Pavlodar - Khan Tengri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Kalmykov N. (C) 10. Agimanov T. 8. Buribaev N. 23. Dobay A. 11. Fedin M. 88. Kenesov A. 17. Nurymbet A. 15. Satyshev A. 5. Torebek T. 21. Tungyshbaev E. 47. Vasiljev V.	1. Erniyazov S. (G) 27. Asanbek S. 3. Bekmyrza A. 30. Gabiden A. 9. Medelkhan D. (C) 18. Mukhametali K. 5. Slyamkhan A. 24. Strizhkov N. 16. Temershi E. 19. Umirzak D. 2. Zakharchenko B.
Substitutes
27. Baydrakhmanov E. 55. Elemes N. 25. Esimov R. 9. Gerasimov M. 77. Kakenov D. 80. Kikbaev M. 19. Popov A. 1. Rikhard M. (G) 97. Smailov A. 3. Toleuov B. 7. Vomenko V. 14. Yensebayev M.	23. Asanbek T. 22. Kusainov A. 12. Niltashev A. 28. Oger A. 26. Suyindik S. 32. Tamabek M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Agimanov T. ⚽, Fedin M. (A),
31', Umirzak D. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Tungyshbaev E. (Own goal),
42', 2 - 1, Satyshev A. ⚽, Buribaev N. (A),
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', Mukhametali K. ↓, Kusainov A. ↑,
47', 3 - 1, Tungyshbaev E. ⚽, Vasiljev V. (A),
55', 4 - 1, Kenesov A. ⚽,
59', Fedin M. ↓, Yensebayev M. ↑,
59', Buribaev N. ↓, Vomenko V. ↑,
66', Temershi E. 🟨,
70', Bekmyrza A. 🟨,
70', Satyshev A. ↓, Toleuov B. ↑,
70', Tungyshbaev E. ↓, Smailov A. ↑,
75', Kenesov A. ↓, Esimov R. ↑,
76', Umirzak D. ↓, Asanbek T. ↑,
77', Gabiden A. ↓, Oger A. ↑,
77', Slyamkhan A. ↓, Suyindik S. ↑,
80', 5 - 1, Esimov R. ⚽,
82', 6 - 1, Smailov A. ⚽,
87', Torebek T. 🟨,
88', Temershi E. ↓, Niltashev A. ↑,
89', 7 - 1, Vomenko V. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 12).

Khan Tengri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ertis is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ertis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ertis Pavlodar
Kazakh First League
25.09.25	SD Family - Ertis Pavlodar	2:7 ✺
12.09.25	Kaspiy Aktau - Ertis Pavlodar	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	AKAS - Ertis Pavlodar	2:5 ✺
01.08.25	Ertis Pavlodar - Shakhter Karagandy	3:1 ✺
24.07.25	Kairat 2 - Ertis Pavlodar	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWW
- Khan Tengri FC
Kazakh First League
26.09.25	Altai Semey - Khan Tengri	3:0 ✺
14.08.25	Khan Tengri - Akademiya Ontustik	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	Zhetisay - Khan Tengri	6:0 ✺
31.07.25	Khan Tengri - AKAS	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Shakhter Karagandy - Khan Tengri	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
04.07.25	Khan Tengri - Ertis Pavlodar	0:2

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