Match Info

Date: 3 January 2021, Sunday


	Erzgebirge Aue		Eintracht Braunschweig

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.14	3.45	3.3
	2.22	3.3	3.15
	2.29	3.45	3.33
	2.2	3.25	3.2
	2.26	3.42	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.86)	3.4 ↓ (3.69)	3.24 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzgebirge Aue
42.8%

Draw
27.9%

Eintracht Braunschweig
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

25.6%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

20.1%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erzgebirge Aue's form might have worsened.

Eintracht Braunschweig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eintracht Braunschweig's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+22%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erzgebirge Aue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Braunschweig than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eintracht Braunschweig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.9%	17.1%	17.1%

Erzgebirge Aue - Eintracht Braunschweig Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 27 - 65.9%). Braunschweig will win (votes: 7 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 51.4% – 80.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 15).

Aue has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Braunschweig has a good chance of relegated (51%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Aue is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Braunschweig is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Braunschweig have a series of home games.

Aue will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Aue won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Aue won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzgebirge Aue
German 2 Bundesliga
20.12.20	Nürnberg - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0 ✺
17.12.20	Erzgebirge Aue - Karlsruher	4:1 ✺
13.12.20	St. Pauli - Erzgebirge Aue	2:2 ✺
06.12.20	Erzgebirge Aue - Jahn Regensburg	0:2 ✺
28.11.20	Sandhausen - Erzgebirge Aue	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTLW
- Eintracht Braunschweig
German DFB Pokal
22.12.20	Eintracht Braunschweig - Borussia Dortmund	0:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.12.20	Eintracht Braunschweig - Greuther Fürth	0:3 ✺
16.12.20	Paderborn - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:2 ✺
13.12.20	Eintracht Braunschweig - Osnabrück	0:2 ✺
05.12.20	Eintracht Braunschweig - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
28.01.18	Erzgebirge Aue - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:3
18.08.17	Eintracht Braunschweig - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1
17.02.17	Eintracht Braunschweig - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1
09.09.16	Erzgebirge Aue - Eintracht Braunschweig	0:2
27.04.15	Eintracht Braunschweig - Erzgebirge Aue	4:2
09.11.14	Erzgebirge Aue - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:2
21.04.13	Eintracht Braunschweig - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1

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