The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Erzgebirge Aue 45.7%
Draw 25.5%
Jahn Regensburg 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.8%
24.7%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
25.3%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+3%)
Erzgebirge Aue - Jahn Regensburg Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mannel M. (C) 17. Fallmann P. 16. Malone R. 25. Zobel T. 37. Seidel P. 11. Uhlmann E. 13. Majetschak E. 19. Guttau J. 34. Stefaniak M. 8. Clausen M. 24. Ehlers J.
1. Gebhardt F. (G) 14. Ziegele R. 4. Strauss F. (C) 37. Wurm L. 22. Stolze S. 6. Saller B. 29. Fein A. 25. Oliveira N. 11. Eichinger N. 27. Hermes L. 21. Hottmann E.
Substitutes
23. Barylla A. 9. Bornschein R. 20. Fabisch J. 10. Gunther-Schmidt J. 22. Lord L. (G) 39. Schmid M. 5. Simnica L. 14. Tashchy B. 7. Weinhauer E.
26. Bauer B. 10. Beckhoff P. 13. Dietz F. 9. Galjen D. 8. Geipl A. 31. Matzler L. 5. Muller P. 23. Pollersbeck J. (G) 7. Schonfelder O.
Coaches
Hartel J.
Wimmer M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Oliveira N. ↓, Bauer B. ↑,
23', Stefaniak M. 🟨,
33', Fallmann P. 🟨,
45', Bauer B. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Majetschak E. ⚽, Uhlmann E. (A),
45+6', 1 - 1, Hottmann E. ⚽, Eichinger N. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Fallmann P. ↓, Fabisch J. ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Guttau J. ⚽,
57', Strauss F. 🟨,
61', 2 - 2, Stolze S. ⚽, Saller B. (A),
65', Stolze S. 🟨,
65', Hermes L. ↓, Beckhoff P. ↑,
65', Stolze S. ↓, Muller P. ↑,
68', Malone R. 🟨,
68', 2 - 3, Bauer B. ⚽, Saller B. (A),
70', Guttau J. 🟨,
76', Ehlers J. ↓, Bar M. ↑,
77', Stefaniak M. ↓, Tashchy B. ↑,
77', Clausen M. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
82', Ziegele R. ↓, Matzler L. ↑,
82', Fein A. ↓, Geipl A. ↑,
85', Seidel P. ↓, Bornschein R. ↑,
86', 3 - 3, Fabisch J. ⚽,
89', Fabisch J. 🟨,
90+3', Eichinger N. 🟨,
90+7', 4 - 3, Weinhauer E. ⚽, Bornschein R. (A),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 1.
Recent performances by Aue have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Regensburg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Aue may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Aue is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Aue won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Jahn Regensburg - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.56%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Germany
World
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Mannel M. (C) 
Fallmann P. 
Malone R. 
Fabisch J. 
Simnica L. 
Tashchy B. 
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